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Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Egor Antipov , Alessandro Palma , Lorenzo Consoli , Stephan Günnemann , Andrea Dittadi , Fabian J. Theis

We propose a likelihood ratio based inferential framework for high dimensional semiparametric generalized linear models. This framework addresses a variety of challenging problems in high dimensional data analysis, including incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Yang Ning , Tianqi Zhao , Han Liu

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

Large Language Models (LLMs) have advanced the field of Combinatorial Optimization through automated heuristic generation. Instead of relying on manual design, this LLM-Driven Heuristic Design (LHD) process leverages LLMs to iteratively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Rongzheng Wang , Yihong Huang , Muquan Li , Jiakai Li , Di Liang , Bob Simons , Pei Ke , Shuang Liang , Ke Qin

We present a generative model that is defined on finite sets of exchangeable, potentially high dimensional, data. As the architecture is an extension of RealNVPs, it inherits all its favorable properties, such as being invertible and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Kashif Rasul , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf , Urs Bergmann

Current AI systems based on probabilistic neural networks, such as large language models (LLMs), have demonstrated remarkable generative capabilities yet face critical challenges including hallucination, unpredictability, and misalignment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Pengcheng Zhou , Zhiqiang Nie , Haochen Li

Riverine flooding poses significant risks. Developing strategies to manage flood risks requires flood projections with decision-relevant scales and well-characterized uncertainties, often at high spatial resolutions. However, calibrating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Samantha Roth , Sanjib Sharma , Atieh Alipour , Klaus Keller , Murali Haran

Multitask learning assumes that models capable of learning from multiple tasks can achieve better quality and efficiency via knowledge transfer, a key feature of human learning. Though, state of the art ML models rely on high customization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Andrea Gesmundo , Jeff Dean

Distribution alignment has many applications in deep learning, including domain adaptation and unsupervised image-to-image translation. Most prior work on unsupervised distribution alignment relies either on minimizing simple non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Ben Usman , Avneesh Sud , Nick Dufour , Kate Saenko

Bayesian posterior inference is prevalent in various machine learning problems. Variational inference provides one way to approximate the posterior distribution, however its expressive power is limited and so is the accuracy of resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

We propose a novel modular inference approach combining two different generative models -- generative adversarial networks (GAN) and normalizing flows -- to approximate the posterior distribution of physics-based Bayesian inverse problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Dhruv V Patel , Deep Ray , Erik A Johnson , Assad A Oberai

Normalizing flows have shown great success as general-purpose density estimators. However, many real world applications require the use of domain-specific knowledge, which normalizing flows cannot readily incorporate. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Gianluigi Silvestri , Emily Fertig , Dave Moore , Luca Ambrogioni

Normalising flows are generative models that transform a complex density into a simpler density through the use of bijective transformations enabling both density estimation and data generation from a single model. %However, the requirement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-28 Eshant English , Matthias Kirchler , Christoph Lippert

Residential Load Profile (RLP) generation and prediction are critical for the operation and planning of distribution networks, especially as diverse low-carbon technologies (e.g., photovoltaic and electric vehicles) are increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Weijie Xia , Chenguang Wang , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

In this paper, we propose a local model reduction approach for subsurface flow problems in stochastic and highly heterogeneous media. To guarantee the mass conservation, we consider the mixed formulation of the flow problem and aim to solve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Yiran Wang , Eric Chung , Shubin Fu

There is a growing gap between the impressive results of deep image generative models and classical algorithms that offer theoretical guarantees. The former suffer from mode collapse or memorization issues, limiting their application to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-02 Florentin Guth , Etienne Lempereur , Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat

We propose two new evaluation metrics to assess realness of generated images based on normalizing flows: a simpler and efficient flow-based likelihood distance (FLD) and a more exact dual-flow based likelihood distance (D-FLD). Because…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Pranav Jeevan , Neeraj Nixon , Amit Sethi

Financial scenario simulation is essential for risk management and portfolio optimization, yet it remains challenging especially in high-dimensional and small data settings common in finance. We propose a diffusion factor model that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Minshuo Chen , Renyuan Xu , Yumin Xu , Ruixun Zhang

Based on the manifold hypothesis, real-world data often lie on a low-dimensional manifold, while normalizing flows as a likelihood-based generative model are incapable of finding this manifold due to their structural constraints. So, one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Seyedeh Fatemeh Razavi , Mohammad Mahdi Mehmanchi , Reshad Hosseini , Mostafa Tavassolipour