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We analyse sequential Markov coalescent algorithms for populations with demographic structure: for a bottleneck model, a population-divergence model, and for a two-island model with migration. The sequential Markov coalescent method is an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 A. Eriksson , B. Mahjani , B. Mehlig

Kingman derived the Ewens sampling formula for random partitions from the genealogy model defined by a Poisson process of mutations along lines of descent governed by a simple coalescent process. M\"ohle described the recursion which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-12 Rui Dong

We consider a stochastic model, called the replicator coalescent, describing a system of blocks of $k$ different types which undergo pairwise mergers at rates depending on the block types: with rate $C_{i,j}$ blocks of type $i$ and $j$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 A. E. Kyprianou , L. Peñaloza , T. Rogers

We prove that the solution of the Kac analogue of Boltzmann's equation can be viewed as a probability distribution of a sum of a random number of random variables. This fact allows us to study convergence to equilibrium by means of a few…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-19 Ester Gabetta , Eugenio Regazzini

Kingman's House-of-Cards model is a simple and celebrated model to describe the evolution of population under the competition of selection and mutation. Letting mutation probabilities vary on generations makes the model more realistic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Linglong Yuan

The kernel mean embedding of probability distributions is commonly used in machine learning as an injective mapping from distributions to functions in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. It allows us, for example, to define a distance…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-12-24 Jonas M. Kübler , Krikamol Muandet , Bernhard Schölkopf

When an advantageous mutation occurs in a population, the favorable allele may spread to the entire population in a short time, an event known as a selective sweep. As a result, when we sample $n$ individuals from a population and trace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rick Durrett , Jason Schweinsberg

The coalescent revolutionised theoretical population genetics, simplifying, or making possible for the first time, many analyses, proofs, and derivations, and offering crucial insights about the way in which the structure of data in samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Peter Donnelly , Stephen Leslie

We describe the onset of condensation in the simple model for the balance between selection and mutation given by Kingman in terms of a scaling limit theorem. Loosely speaking, this shows that the wave moving towards genes of maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Steffen Dereich , Peter Mörters

We report an innovative model for predicting entanglement distribution between end parties of a quantum network using our in-house simulation algorithm. Our implementation is based on stochastic methods that are built upon a unique global…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-11 Tasmi R. Ahmed , Fares Nada , Amber Hussain , Connor Kupchak

In the seventies, Charles Stein revolutionized the way of proving the Central Limit Theorem by introducing a method that utilizes a characterization equation for Gaussian distribution. In the last 50 years, much research has been done to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Partha S. Dey , Grigory Terlov

We study an inverse initial-density problem for a nonlinear diffusive coagulation--fragmentation equation with known coagulation and fragmentation kernels. The objective is to recover the unknown initial particle-size distribution on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Thuy T. Le , Minh-Binh Tran , Loc H. Nguyen

We introduce a new Bayesian model for hierarchical clustering based on a prior over trees called Kingman's coalescent. We develop novel greedy and sequential Monte Carlo inferences which operate in a bottom-up agglomerative fashion. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-07-07 Yee Whye Teh , Hal Daumé , Daniel Roy

The nested Kingman coalescent describes the dynamics of particles (called genes) contained in larger components (called species), where pairs of species coalesce at constant rate and pairs of genes coalesce at constant rate provided they…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

The coalescent is a stochastic process representing ancestral lineages in a population undergoing neutral genetic drift. Originally defined for a well-mixed population, the coalescent has been adapted in various ways to accommodate spatial,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-02 Benjamin Allen , Alex McAvoy

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

Effective population size characterizes the genetic variability in a population and is a parameter of paramount importance in population genetics. Kingman's coalescent process enables inference of past population dynamics directly from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Mandev S. Gill , Philippe Lemey , Shannon N. Bennett , Roman Biek , Marc A. Suchard

Theory of Kingman's partition structures has two culminating points: the general paintbox representation, relating finite partitions to hypothetical infinite populations via a natural sampling procedure, known as Kingman's paintbox; a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Alexander V. Gnedin

We define and analyze a coalescent process as a recursive box-filling process whose genealogy is given by an ancestral time-reversed, time-inhomogeneous Bienyam\'{e}-Galton-Watson process. Special interest is on the expected size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

The development of coalescent theory paved the way to statistical inference from population genetic data. In the genomic era, however, coalescent models are limited due to the complexity of the underlying ancestral recombination graph. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-30 Julien Y. Dutheil