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In this work, recent results on the moments of balanced P\'olya urns are generalized to unbalanced urns, with the condition that the expected change in total activity at each step is constant. We also provide applications of our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Colin Desmarais

We consider the general version of P\'olya urns recently studied by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2016+) and Mailler and Marckert (2017), with the space of colours being any Borel space $S$ and the state of the urn being a finite measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Svante Janson

We consider interacting urns on a finite directed network, where both sampling and reinforcement processes depend on the nodes of the network. This extends previous research by incorporating node-dependent sampling and reinforcement. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Gursharn Kaur , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We revisit the pairing model of state spaces with new emergent states introduced in J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 51 375002, 2018. We facilitate our analysis by introducing a simplified pairing model consisting of balls able to form pairs but…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-18 Roozbeh H. Pazuki , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Generating realistic artificial preference distributions is an important part of any simulation analysis of electoral systems. While this has been discussed in some detail in the context of a single electoral district, many electoral…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Geoffrey Pritchard , Mark C. Wilson

Random tilings are interesting as idealizations of atomistic models of quasicrystals and for their connection to problems in combinatorics and algorithms. Of particular interest is the tiling entropy density, which measures the relation of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Maxwell Hutchinson , Michael Widom

Exponential averages that appear in integral fluctuation theorems can be recast as a sum over moments of thermodynamic observables. We use two examples to show that such moment series can exhibit non-uniform convergence in certain singular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-31 Hila Katznelson , Saar Rahav

The inductive size bias coupling technique and Stein's method yield a Berry-Esseen theorem for the number of urns having occupancy $d \ge 2$ when $n$ balls are uniformly distributed over $m$ urns. In particular, there exists a constant $C$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Jay Bartroff , Larry Goldstein

We consider a limit theorem for the distribution of a r.v. $Y_n:=argmax {\{X_i, i= 1,..., n\}},$ where $X_i'$s are independent continuous non-negative random variables. The r.v.'s $\{X_i, i=1,..., n\}$, may be interpreted as the gains of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Youri Davydov , Vladimir Rotar

We give a central limit theorem, which has applications to Bayesian statistics and urn problems. The latter are investigated, by paying special attention to multicolor randomly reinforced generalized Polya urns.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Adding a column of numbers produces "carries" along the way. We show that random digits produce a pattern of carries with a neat probabilistic description: the carries form a one-dependent determinantal point process. This makes it easy to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-24 Alexei Borodin , Persi Diaconis , Jason Fulman

Early investigation of P\'{o}lya urns considered drawing balls one at a time. In the last two decades, several authors considered multiple drawing in each step, but mostly for schemes on two colors. In this manuscript, we consider multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Sparks , Markus Kuba , Srinivasan Balaji , Hosam Mahmoud

Consider a string of $n$ positions, i.e. a discrete string of length $n$. Units of length $k$ are placed at random on this string in such a way that they do not overlap, and as often as possible, i.e. until all spacings between neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Chris A. J. Klaassen , J. Theo Runnenburg

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 V. Shcherbakov

This paper is devoted to the structure of the complete asymptotic expansion of the probability that a large combinatorial object is irreducible or consists of a given number of irreducible parts, where irreducibility is understood in terms…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Thierry Monteil , Khaydar Nurligareev

It has been shown that sufficiently well mixing dynamical systems with positive entropy have extreme value laws which in the limit converge to one of the three standard distributions known for i.i.d. processes, namely Gumbel, Fr\'echet and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Nicolai Haydn , Michal Kupsa

Consider an urn model whose replacement matrix is triangular, has all entries nonnegative and the row sums are all equal to one. We obtain the strong laws for the counts of balls corresponding to each color. The scalings for these laws…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-27 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama

We study first passage statistics of the Polya urn model. In this random process, the urn contains two types of balls. In each step, one ball is drawn randomly from the urn, and subsequently placed back into the urn together with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-12 Tibor Antal , E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

The random self-reinforcement mechanism, characterized by the principle of ``the rich get richer'', has demonstrated significant utility across various domains. One prominent model embodying this mechanism is the random reinforcement urn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Li Yang , Jiang Hu , Jianghao Li , Zhidong Bai