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Evaluating failure probability for complex engineering systems is a computationally intensive task. While the Monte Carlo method is easy to implement, it converges slowly and, hence, requires numerous repeated simulations of a complex…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-27 Mujing Li , Yani Feng , Guanjie Wang

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

Numerous applications in biology, statistics, science, and engineering require generating samples from high-dimensional probability distributions. In recent years, the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method has emerged as a state-of-the-art…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dhruv V. Patel , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew W. Farthing , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

Neural networks (NNs) are often used as surrogates or emulators of partial differential equations (PDEs) that describe the dynamics of complex systems. A virtually negligible computational cost of such surrogates renders them an attractive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Dong H. Song , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network surrogate sampling method for the uncertainty quantification of physical/biological systems described by ordinary or partial differential equations. We first generate a set of low/high-fidelity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Mohammad Motamed

Developing efficient numerical algorithms for the solution of high dimensional random Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) has been a challenging task due to the well-known curse of dimensionality. We present a new solution framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Mohammad Amin Nabian , Hadi Meidani

Modern computational methods, involving highly sophisticated mathematical formulations, enable several tasks like modeling complex physical phenomenon, predicting key properties and design optimization. The higher fidelity in these computer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Lele Luan , Nesar Ramachandra , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Anindya Bhaduri , Piyush Pandita , Prasanna Balaprakash , Mihai Anitescu , Changjie Sun , Liping Wang

In recent years, tremendous progress has been made on numerical algorithms for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) in a very high dimension, using ideas from either nonlinear (multilevel) Monte Carlo or deep learning. They are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Weinan E , Jiequn Han , Arnulf Jentzen

Numerical solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) require expensive simulations, limiting their application in design optimization, model-based control, and large-scale inverse problems. Surrogate modeling techniques seek to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 James Duvall , Karthik Duraisamy , Shaowu Pan

Science and engineering fields use computer simulation extensively. These simulations are often run at multiple levels of sophistication to balance accuracy and efficiency. Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling reduces the computational cost by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Dongxia Wu , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

This paper presents the development of an algorithm, termed the Global-Local Hybrid Surrogate (GLHS), designed to efficiently compute the probability of rare failure events in complex systems. The primary goal is to enhance the accuracy of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Audrey Gaymann , Juan M. Cardenas , Sung Min Jo , Marco Panesi , Alireza Doostan

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

We introduce the concept of Hybrid Surrogate Models (HSMs) -- combining multivariate polynomials with Heavyside functions -- as approximates of functions with finitely many jump discontinuities. We exploit the HSMs for formulating a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Juan-Esteban Suarez Cardona , Shashank Reddy , Michael Hecht

The development of efficient surrogates for partial differential equations (PDEs) is a critical step towards scalable modeling of complex, multiscale systems-of-systems. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have gained popularity as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Adrienne M. Propp , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Inferring parameters of high-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs) poses significant computational and inferential challenges, primarily due to the curse of dimensionality and the inherent limitations of traditional numerical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Denny Thaler , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Franz Bamer , Bernd Markert , Michael D. Shields

The term `surrogate modeling' in computational science and engineering refers to the development of computationally efficient approximations for expensive simulations, such as those arising from numerical solution of partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Maarten V. de Hoop , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Elizabeth Qian , Andrew M. Stuart

We present a novel way of accelerating hybrid surrogate methods for the calculation of failure probabilities. The main idea is to use mesh refinement in order to obtain improved local surrogates of low computation cost to simulate on. These…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Jing Li , Panos Stinis

High-fidelity numerical simulations of partial differential equations (PDEs) given a restricted computational budget can significantly limit the number of parameter configurations considered and/or time window evaluated for modeling a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Attilio Frangi , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

The numerical solution of high dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs) is severely constrained by the curse of dimensionality (CoD), rendering classical grid--based methods impractical beyond a few dimensions. In recent years,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Wenzhong Zhang , Zheyuan Hu , Wei Cai , George EM Karniadakis
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