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We study the time dependence of maximal spanning trees and asset graphs based on correlation matrices of stock returns. In these networks the nodes represent companies and links are related to the correlation coefficients between them.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tapio Heimo , Kimmo Kaski , Jari Saramaki

We investigate hierarchical structure in various complex systems according to Minimum Spanning Tree methods. Firstly, we investigate stock markets where the graphis obtained from the matrix of correlations coefficient computed between all…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-13 Andrzej Jarynowski , Andrzej Buda

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-18 Kiran Sharma , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti

The time dependence of the recently introduced minimum spanning tree description of correlations between stocks, called the ``asset tree'' have been studied to reflect the economic taxonomy. The nodes of the tree are identified with stocks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. -P. Onnela , A. Chakraborti , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz , A. Kanto

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Douglas Castilho , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Soong Moon Kang , João Gama , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-17 M. Bernardi , L. Petrella

In this article we review several techniques to extract information from stock market data. We discuss recurrence analysis of time series, decomposition of aggregate correlation matrices to study co-movements in financial data, stock level…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-20 Kiran Sharma , Shreyansh Shah , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti

We consider insurance derivatives depending on an external physical risk process, for example a temperature in a low dimensional climate model. We assume that this process is correlated with a tradable financial asset. We derive optimal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Stefan Ankirchner , Peter Imkeller , Alexandre Popier

The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-11 Fabio Caccioli , Paolo Barucca , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

I analyze long-term contracting in insurance markets with asymmetric information. The buyer privately observes her risk type, which evolves stochastically over time. A long-term contract specifies a menu of insurance policies, contingent on…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-01 Vitor Farinha Luz

We study the mean field approximation of a recent model of cascades on networks relevant to the investigation of systemic risk control in financial networks. In the model, the hypothesis of a trend reinforcement in the stochastic process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-13 Jan Lorenz , Stefano Battiston

In this paper we study the effect of network structure between agents and objects on measures for systemic risk. We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the financial or (re)insuance market by a bipartite graph. Using…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-05 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Gesine Reinert

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

As insurers increasingly behave like financial intermediaries and actively participate in capital markets, understanding the dependence structure between insurance and financial risks becomes crucial for insurers' operations. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Shunzhi Pang

We introduce a technique that is capable to filter out information from complex systems, by mapping them to networks, and extracting a subgraph with the strongest links. This idea is based on the Minimum Spanning Tree, and it can be applied…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-17 Antonios Garas , Panos Argyrakis

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

This paper introduces a new methodology for constructing a network of companies called a dynamic asset graph. This is similar to the dynamic asset tree studied recently, as both are based on correlations between asset returns. However, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. -P. Onnela , A. Chakraborti , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz , A. Kanto

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico , Stefano Gurciullo , Guido Caldarelli