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Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

In longitudinal studies, we observe measurements of the same variables at different time points to track the changes in their pattern over time. In such studies, scheduling of the data collection waves (i.e. time of participants' visits) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Li Xing , Xuekui Zhang , Ardo van den Hout , Scott Hofer , Graciela Muniz Terrera

Clinical machine learning faces a critical dilemma in high-stakes medical applications: algorithms achieving optimal diagnostic performance typically sacrifice the interpretability essential for physician decision-making, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Xiuqi Ge , Zhibo Yao , Yaosong Du

One approach for increasing the efficiency of randomized trials is the use of "external controls" -- individuals who received the control treatment studied in the trial during routine practice or in prior experimental studies. Existing…

Observational studies of recurrent event rates are common in biomedical statistics. Broadly, the goal is to estimate differences in event rates under two treatments within a defined target population over a specified followup window.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Arman Oganisian , Anthony Girard , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Patience Moyo

Generalization methods offer a powerful solution to one of the key drawbacks of randomized controlled trials (RCTs): their limited representativeness. By enabling the transport of treatment effect estimates to target populations subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Ahmed Boughdiri , Clément Berenfeld , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

Binary classification rules based on covariates typically depend on simple loss functions such as zero-one misclassification. Some cases may require more complex loss functions. For example, individual-level monitoring of HIV-infected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yizhen Xu , Tao Liu , Michael J. Daniels , Rami Kantor , Ann Mwangi , Joseph W. Hogan

Accurate and interpretable mortality risk prediction in intensive care units (ICUs) remains a critical challenge due to the irregular temporal structure of electronic health records (EHRs), the complexity of longitudinal disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zahra Jafari , Azadeh Zamanifar , Amirfarhad Farhadi

Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) is one of the most aggressive types of hematological neoplasm. To support the specialists' decision about the appropriate therapy, patients with AML receive a prognostic of outcomes according to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Jade M. Almeida , Giovanna A. Castro , João A. Machado-Neto , Tiago A. Almeida

Time series analysis has emerged as an important tool for improving patient diagnosis and management in healthcare applications. However, these applications commonly face two critical challenges: time misalignment and data sparsity.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Dohyun Ku , Catherine D. Chong , Visar Berisha , Todd J. Schwedt , Jing Li

X-ray image-based disease diagnosis lies in ensuring the precision of identifying afflictions within the sample, a task fraught with challenges stemming from the occurrence of false positives and false negatives. False positives introduce…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Sebastian A. Cruz Romero , Ivanelyz Rivera de Jesus , Dariana J. Troche Quinones , Wilson Rivera Gallego

Interval censored data commonly arise in medical studies when the event time of interest is only known to lie within an interval. In the presence of a cure subgroup, conventional mixture cure models typically assume a logistic model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Xiaoru Huang , Tonghui Yu , Xiaoyu Liu

Current machine learning models aiming to predict sepsis from Electronic Health Records (EHR) do not account for the heterogeneity of the condition, despite its emerging importance in prognosis and treatment. This work demonstrates the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Ahmed Hamoud , Lukas Stappen , Richard Dobson , Andrea Agarossi

We develop new algorithms for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, combining recent developments in transfer learning for neural networks with insights from the causal inference literature. By taking advantage of transfer learning,…

Accurate estimation of treatment effects is essential for decision-making across various scientific fields. This task, however, becomes challenging in areas like social sciences and online marketplaces, where treating one experimental unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Mohsen Bayati , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Sadegh Shirani , Ruoxuan Xiong

Randomized trials and observational studies, more often than not, run over a certain period of time. The treatment effect evolves during this period which provides crucial insights into the treatment response and the long-term effects. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 Shu Li , Peter Bühlmann

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is important to tailor treatments to those individuals who would most likely benefit. However, conditional average treatment effect predictors may often be trained on one population but possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Christoph Kern , Michael Kim , Angela Zhou

Medical events of interest, such as mortality, often happen at a low rate in electronic medical records, as most admitted patients survive. Training models with this imbalance rate (class density discrepancy) may lead to suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Zepeng Huo , Xiaoning Qian , Shuai Huang , Zhangyang Wang , Bobak J. Mortazavi

This study employed the MIMIC-IV database as data source to investigate the use of dynamic, high-frequency, multivariate time-series vital signs data, including temperature, heart rate, mean blood pressure, respiratory rate, and SpO2,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Tongyue Shi , Zhilong Zhang , Wentie Liu , Junhua Fang , Jianguo Hao , Shuai Jin , Huiying Zhao , Guilan Kong

Optimization of patient throughput and wait time in emergency departments (ED) is an important task for hospital systems. For that reason, Emergency Severity Index (ESI) system for patient triage was introduced to help guide manual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-11 Djordje Gligorijevic , Jelena Stojanovic , Wayne Satz , Ivan Stojkovic , Kathrin Schreyer , Daniel Del Portal , Zoran Obradovic