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Reinforcement Learning Algorithms are predominantly developed for stationary environments, and the limited literature that considers nonstationary environments often involves specific assumptions about changes that can occur in transition…
We study a Weiner process that is conditioned to pass through a finite set of points and consider the dynamics generated by iterating a sample path from this process. Using topological techniques we are able to characterize the global…
The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…
We present necessary conditions for monotonicity, in one form or another, of fixed point iterations of mappings that violate the usual nonexpansive property. We show that most reasonable notions of linear-type monotonicity of fixed point…
Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…
We justify and discuss expressions for joint lower and upper expectations in imprecise probability trees, in terms of the sub- and supermartingales that can be associated with such trees. These imprecise probability trees can be seen as…
This paper introduce the notion of output contraction that expands the contraction notion to the time-varying nonlinear systems with output. It pertains to the systems' property that any pair of outputs from the system converge to each…
We study identification and estimation of endogenous linear and nonlinear regression models without excluded instrumental variables, based on the standard mean independence condition and a nonlinear relevance condition. Based on the…
Within the study of uncertain dynamical systems, iterated random functions are a key tool. There, one samples a family of functions according to a stationary distribution. Here, we introduce an extension, where one sample functions…
We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…
Statisticians usually restrict regression to model relationships that are explicitly defined dependent and independent random variables; this paper outlines the newly developed method of non-response analysis and rotational analysis for…
Given a solution to a recursive distributional equation, a natural (and non-trivial) question is whether the corresponding recursive tree process is endogenous. That is, whether the random environment almost surely defines the tree process.…
A stationary random graph is a random rooted graph whose distribution is invariant under re-rooting along the simple random walk. We adapt the entropy technique developed for Cayley graphs and show in particular that stationary random…
Let $(U_n(t))_{t\in\R^d}$ be the empirical process associated to an $\R^d$-valued stationary process $(X_i)_{i\ge 0}$. We give general conditions, which only involve processes $(f(X_i))_{i\ge 0}$ for a restricted class of functions $f$,…
The problem of endogeneity in statistics and econometrics is often handled by introducing instrumental variables (IV) which fulfill the mean independence assumption, i.e. the unobservable is mean independent of the instruments. When full…
This work is concerned with model reduction of stochastic differential equations and builds on the idea of replacing drift and noise coefficients of preselected relevant, e.g. slow variables by their conditional expectations. We extend…
The fundamental task of general density estimation $p(x)$ has been of keen interest to machine learning. In this work, we attempt to systematically characterize methods for density estimation. Broadly speaking, most of the existing methods…
We give general sufficient conditions to prove the convergence of marked point processes that keep record of the occurrence of rare events and of their impact for non-autonomous dynamical systems. We apply the results to sequential…
We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…
We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…