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Related papers: Uncertainty Propagation in a Multiscale CALPHAD-Re…

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Computational molecular modeling and visualization has seen significant progress in recent years with sev- eral molecular modeling and visualization software systems in use today. Nevertheless the molecular biology community lacks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Muhibur Rasheed , Nathan Clement , Abhishek Bhowmick , Chandrajit Bajaj

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Predicting the spread of processes across complex multi-layered networks has long challenged researchers due to the intricate interplay between network structure and propagation dynamics. Each layer of these networks possesses unique…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

This study presents an integrated computational framework that, given synthesis parameters, predicts the resulting microstructural morphology and mechanical response of ceramic aerogel porous materials by combining physics-based simulations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Md Azharul Islam , Dwyer Deighan , Shayan Bhattacharjee , Daniel Tantalo , Pratyush Kumar Singh , David Salac , Danial Faghihi

We consider a phase-field fracture propagation model, which consists of two (nonlinear) coupled partial differential equations. The first equation describes the displacement evolution, and the second is a smoothed indicator variable,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Christian Engwer , Iuliu Sorin Pop , Thomas Wick

Exploring the vast composition space of multi-component alloys presents a challenging task for both \textit{ab initio} (first principles) and experimental methods due to the time-consuming procedures involved. This ultimately impedes the…

Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

Computational cardiac modelling is a mature area of biomedical computing, and is currently evolving from a pure research tool to aiding in clinical decision making. Assessing the reliability of computational model predictions is a key…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-10 Rocío Rodríguez-Cantano , Joakim Sundnes , Marie E. Rognes

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

This paper introduces Uncertainty Propagation Network (UPN), a novel family of neural differential equations that naturally incorporate uncertainty quantification into continuous-time modeling. Unlike existing neural ODEs that predict only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Hadi Jahanshahi , Zheng H. Zhu

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Multiple hypotheses/models have been put forward regarding the cooling history of the Earth. The search for life beyond Earth has brought these models into a new light as they connect to one of the two energy sources life can tap. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-29 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic

The construction of efficient methods for uncertainty quantification in kinetic equations represents a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the models: often the computational costs involved become prohibitive. On the other hand,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Giacomo Dimarco , Liu Liu , Lorenzo Pareschi , Xueyu Zhu

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

Brittle solids are often toughened by adding a second-phase material. This practice often results in composites with material heterogeneities on the meso scale: large compared to the scale of the process zone but small compared to that of…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-02-20 Liuchi Li , Jack Rao , Todd Hufnagel , KT Ramesh

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

Uncertainty quantification is critical in scientific inverse problems to distinguish identifiable parameters from those that remain ambiguous given available measurements. The Conditional Diffusion Model-based Inverse Problem Solver (CDI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Dmitrii Torbunov , Yihui Ren , Lijun Wu , Yimei Zhu

In CALPHAD-type thermodynamic databases, nonstoichiometric compounds are typically described by sublattice models where the sublattice site fractions represent the occupation probability of different atomic, ionic or defect species on…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-04 Yanzhou Ji , Yueze Tan , Long-Qing Chen

Modeling the propagation of cracks at the microscopic level is fundamental to understand the effect of the microstructure on the fracture process. Nevertheless, microscopic propagation is often unstable and when using phase field fracture…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-12-24 Pedro Aranda , Javier Segurado

To improve the predictive capacity of system models in the input-output sense, this paper presents a framework for model updating via learning of modeling uncertainties in locally (and thus also in globally) Lipschitz nonlinear systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw