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Machine learning is increasingly used to select which individuals receive limited-resource interventions in domains such as human services, education, development, and more. However, it is often not apparent what the right quantity is for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Vibhhu Sharma , Bryan Wilder

Current approaches to A/B testing in networks focus on limiting interference, the concern that treatment effects can "spill over" from treatment nodes to control nodes and lead to biased causal effect estimation. Prominent methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

In a clinical trial, the random allocation aims to balance prognostic factors between arms, preventing true confounders. However, residual differences due to chance may introduce near-confounders. Adjusting on prognostic factors is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-18 Joe de Keizer , Rémi Lenain , Raphaël Porcher , Sarah Zoha , Arthur Chatton , Yohann Foucher

We propose a novel Bayesian model selection technique on linear mixed-effects models to compare multiple treatments with a control. A fully Bayesian approach is implemented to estimate the marginal inclusion probabilities that provide a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-28 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal , Stephen R. Spindler , Patricia L. Mote

An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

Clinical trials often seek to determine the superiority, equivalence, or non-inferiority of an experimental condition (e.g., a new drug) compared to a control condition (e.g., a placebo or an already existing drug). The use of frequentist…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-05-09 Maximilian Linde , Don van Ravenzwaaij

The effects of treatments may differ between persons with different characteristics. Addressing such treatment heterogeneity is crucial to investigate whether patients with specific characteristics are likely to benefit from a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Xynthia Kavelaars , Joris Mulder , Maurits Kaptein

Adaptive therapy is a dynamic cancer treatment protocol that updates (or "adapts") treatment decisions in anticipation of evolving tumor dynamics. This broad term encompasses many possible dynamic treatment protocols of patient-specific…

Model-based clustering is a popular approach for clustering multivariate data which has seen applications in numerous fields. Nowadays, high-dimensional data are more and more common and the model-based clustering approach has adapted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Michael Fop , Thomas Brendan Murphy

In cancer research, clustering techniques are widely used for exploratory analyses and dimensionality reduction, playing a critical role in the identification of novel cancer subtypes, often with direct implications for patient management.…

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

We consider basket trials in which a biomarker-targeting drug may be efficacious for patients across different disease indications. Patients are enrolled if their cells exhibit some levels of biomarker expression. The threshold level is…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-20 Shijie Yuan , Jiaxin Liu , Zhihua Gong , Xia Qin , Crystal Qin , Yuan Ji , Peter Müller

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

The CompModels package for R provides a suite of computer model test functions that can be used for computer model prediction/emulation, uncertainty quantification, and calibration, but in particular, the sequential optimization of computer…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-08 Tony Pourmohamad

We explore a novel theoretical model for studying the performance of distributed storage management systems where the data-centers have limited capacities (as compared to storage space requested by the users). Prior schemes such as…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Ankur Sahai

Reinforcement learning (RL) has the potential to significantly improve clinical decision making. However, treatment policies learned via RL from observational data are sensitive to subtle choices in study design. We highlight a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Christina X. Ji , Michael Oberst , Sanjat Kanjilal , David Sontag

Health policy decisions are often informed by estimates of long-term survival based primarily on short-term data. A range of methods are available to include longer-term information, but there has previously been no comprehensive and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Christopher Jackson

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A…

Biomarker measurements can be relatively easy and quick to obtain and they are useful to investigate whether a compound works as intended on a mechanistic, pharmacological level. In some situations, it is realistic to assume that patients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-26 Björn Bornkamp , Georgina Bermann

This paper considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Michela Bia , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs