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The independent component model is a latent variable model where the components of the observed random vector are linear combinations of latent independent variables. The aim is to find an estimate for a transformation matrix back to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Joni Virta , Klaus Nordhausen , Hannu Oja

In the literature, there are a few researches to design some parameters in the Proximal Point Algorithm (PPA), especially for the multi-objective convex optimizations. Introducing some parameters to PPA can make it more flexible and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Jianchao Bai , Jicheng Li , Pingfan Dai , Jiaofen Li

Shape constrained regression analysis has applications in dose-response modeling, environmental risk assessment, disease screening and many other areas. Incorporating the shape constraints can improve estimation efficiency and avoid…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-19 Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Functional principal component analysis has been shown to be invaluable for revealing variation modes of longitudinal outcomes, which serves as important building blocks for forecasting and model building. Decades of research have advanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Peijun Sang , Dehan Kong , Shu Yang

This paper investigates the intrinsic group structures within the framework of large-dimensional approximate factor models, which portrays homogeneous effects of the common factors on the individuals that fall into the same group. To this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yong He , Dong Liu , Guangming Pan , Yiming Wang

We demonstrate that machine learning methods provide a powerful framework for modelling conditional asymmetric risk. Using a large cross-section of US stocks and a comprehensive set of firm characteristics, we show that allowing for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

We present a novel class of projected methods, to perform statistical analysis on a data set of probability distributions on the real line, with the 2-Wasserstein metric. We focus in particular on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Matteo Pegoraro , Mario Beraha

Real-world applications often require improved models by leveraging a range of cheap incidental supervision signals. These could include partial labels, noisy labels, knowledge-based constraints, and cross-domain or cross-task annotations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Hangfeng He , Mingyuan Zhang , Qiang Ning , Dan Roth

COGARCH models are continuous time version of the well known GARCH models of financial returns. They are solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a L\'evy process. The first aim of this paper is to show how the method of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Enrico Bibbona , Ilia Negri

This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a well-established tool in machine learning and data processing. The principal axes in PCA were shown to be equivalent to the maximum marginal likelihood estimator of the factor loading matrix in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-25 Mengyang Gu , Weining Shen

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

Bayesian optimization is a powerful optimization tool for problems where native first-order derivatives are unavailable. Recently, constrained Bayesian optimization (CBO) has been applied to many engineering applications where constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 J. Wang , C. G. Petra , J. L. Peterson

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

In this paper, we introduce a novel theoretical framework for Gaussian process regression error analysis, leveraging a function-space decomposition. Based on this framework, we develop a weighted Jacobi iterative method that utilizes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Tiantian Sun , Juan Zhang

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

In many situations, data are recorded over a period of time and may be regarded as realizations of a stochastic process. In this paper, robust estimators for the principal components are considered by adapting the projection pursuit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Juan Lucas Bali , Graciela Boente , David E. Tyler , Jane-Ling Wang

In this paper we consider an extension of the beta regression model proposed by Ferrari and Cribari-Neto (2004). We extend their model in two different ways, first, we let the regression structure be nonlinear, second, we allow a regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-24 Alexandre B. Simas , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Andréa V. Rocha

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin