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We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

The usefulness of semi-analytical thermal models for predicting the connection between process, microstructure and properties in powder bed fusion has been well illustrated in recent years. Such an approach provides the promise of accuracy…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-04-05 Shaun R. Cooke , Chadwick W. Sinclair , Daan M. Maijer

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

Abrupt and irreversible winter Arctic sea-ice loss may occur under anthropogenic warming due to the collapse of a sea-ice equilibrium at a threshold value of CO$_2$, commonly referred to as a tipping point. Previous work has been unable to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Camille Hankel , Eli Tziperman

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

The persistent lack of spatially complete Antarctic sea ice thickness (SIT) data at sub-monthly resolution has fundamentally constrained the quantitative understanding of large-scale sea ice mass balance processes. In this study, a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-13 Ziqi Ma , Qinghua Yang , Yue Xu , Wen Shi , Xiaoran Dong , Qian Shi , Hao Luo , Jiping Liu , Petteri Uotila , Yafei Nie

Numerical climate model simulations run at high spatial and temporal resolutions generate massive quantities of data. As our computing capabilities continue to increase, storing all of the data is not sustainable, and thus it is important…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness , Dorit Hammerling

Icephobic surfaces inspired by superhydrophobic surfaces offer a passive solution to the problem of icing. However, modeling icephobicity is challenging because some material features that aid superhydrophobicity can adversely affect the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-08-04 Rahul Ramachandran

Image-based environment perception is an important component especially for driver assistance systems or autonomous driving. In this scope, modern neuronal networks are used to identify multiple objects as well as the according position and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Fabian Küppers

Arctic amplification has altered the climate patterns both regionally and globally, resulting in more frequent and more intense extreme weather events in the past few decades. The essential part of Arctic amplification is the unprecedented…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Sahara Ali , Jianwu Wang

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

Ice shell dynamics are an important control on the habitability of icy ocean worlds. Here we present a systematic study evaluating the effect of temperature-dependent material properties on these dynamics. We review the published thermal…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Evan Carnahan , Natalie S. Wolfenbarger , Jacob S. Jordan , Marc A. Hesse

Several Earth system components are at a high risk of undergoing rapid and irreversible qualitative changes or `tipping', due to increasing climate warming. Potential tipping elements include Arctic sea-ice, Atlantic meridional overturning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu , Craig Bakker , Derek DeSantis , Adam Rupe

In applications of climate information, coarse-resolution climate projections commonly need to be downscaled to a finer grid. One challenge of this requirement is the modeling of sub-grid variability and the spatial and temporal dependence…

We showcase a hybrid modeling framework which embeds machine learning (ML) inference into the GFDL SPEAR climate model, for online sea ice bias correction during a set of global fully-coupled 1-year retrospective forecasts. We compare two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-05 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Yong-Fei Zhang , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna , Colleen McHugh , Liwei Jia

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

While camera and LiDAR are widely used in most of the assisted and autonomous driving systems, only a few works have been proposed to associate the temporal synchronization and extrinsic calibration for camera and LiDAR which are dedicated…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Shouan Wang , Xinyu Zhang , GuiPeng Zhang , Yijin Xiong , Ganglin Tian , Shichun Guo , Jun Li

Computer codes are widely used to describe physical processes in lieu of physical observations. In some cases, more than one computer simulator, each with different degrees of fidelity, can be used to explore the physical system. In this…

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