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This work presents a model combining the simplest communicable and non-communicable disease models. The latter is, by far, the leading cause of sickness and death in the World, and introduces basal heterogeneity in populations where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-29 M. Marvá , E. Venturino , M. C. Vera

Source-sink systems are metapopulations of patches that can be of variable habitat quality. They can be seen as graphs, where vertices represent the patches, and the weighted oriented edges give the probability of dispersal from one patch…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Vincent Bansaye , Amaury Lambert

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

The analysis of contagion-diffusion processes in metapopulations is a powerful theoretical tool to study how mobility influences the spread of communicable diseases. Nevertheless, many metapopulation approaches use indistinguishable agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-20 Pablo Valgañón , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

In this paper, we focus on the node-based epidemic modeling for networks, introduce the propagation medium and propose a node-based Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model with infective media. Theoretical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-03 Leyi Zheng , Longkun Tang

We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Mustapha Ait Rami , Vahid S. Bokharaie , Oliver Mason , Fabian R. Wirth

A dynamic model of a society is studied where each person is an uncorrelated and non-interacting random walker. A dynamical random graph represents the acquaintance network of the society whose nodes are the individuals and links are the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. S. Manna

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

Following \cite{ipel1}, we consider a nonlinear SIS-type nonlocal system describing the spread of epidemics on networks, assuming nonlimited transmission, We prove local existence of a unique solution for any diffusion coefficients and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Elisabeth Logak , Isabelle Passat

We consider an epidemic model of SIR type set on a homogeneous tree and investigate the spreading properties of the epidemic as a function of the degree of the tree, the intrinsic basic reproduction number and the strength of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

We consider a stochastic SIS infection model for a population partitioned into $m$ households assuming random mixing. We solve the model in the limit $m \to \infty$ by using the self-consistent field method of statistical physics. We derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ghoshal , L. M. Sander , I. M. Sokolov

We analyze the susceptible-infected-susceptible model for epidemic spreading in which a fraction of the individuals become immune by vaccination. This process is understood as a dilution by vaccination, which decreases the fraction of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

The epidemic spreading has been widely studied when each node may get infected by an infected neighbor with the same rate. However, the infection rate between a pair of nodes is usually heterogeneous and even correlated with their nodal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-01 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

We study a simple case of the susceptible-weakened-infected-removed model in regular random graphs in a situation where an epidemic starts from a finite fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds). Previous studies have shown that,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto