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Related papers: Concentration Inequalities and UQ Bounds for Hypoc…

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We study the self-normalized concentration of vector-valued stochastic processes. We focus on bounds for "sub-$\psi$" processes, a well-known and quite general class of process that encompasses a wide variety of well-known tail conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider a generic modified logarithmic Sobolev inequality (mLSI) of the form $\mathrm{Ent}_{\mu}(e^f) \le \tfrac{\rho}{2} \mathbb{E}_\mu e^f \Gamma(f)^2$ for some difference operator $\Gamma$, and show how it implies two-level…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Holger Sambale , Arthur Sinulis

We prove a pointwise ergodic theorem and a maximal inequality for actions of amenable groups on noncommutative measure spaces. To do so, we establish a square function estimate quantifying the difference between ergodic averages and some…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Léonard Cadilhac , Simeng Wang

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $p^*(x) \propto \exp\left(-U(x)\right)$, where the function $U$ is $L$-smooth everywhere and $m$-strongly convex outside a ball of radius $R$, but potentially nonconvex inside this ball.…

This paper proves that, under a monotonicity condition, the invariant probability measure of a McKean--Vlasov process can be approximated by weighted empirical measures of some processes including itself. These processes are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Kai Du , Yifan Jiang , Jinfeng Li

In this paper, we introduce efficient ensemble Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods for Bayesian computations in the univariate stochastic volatility model. We compare the performance of our ensemble MCMC methods with an…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Radford M. Neal

For a given target density, there exist an infinite number of diffusion processes which are ergodic with respect to this density. As observed in a number of papers, samplers based on nonreversible diffusion processes can significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-17 A. B. Duncan , G. A. Pavliotis , K. C. Zygalakis

We establish that, for a Markov semi-group, $L^2$ hypocoercivity, i.e. contractivity for a modified $L^2$ norm, implies quantitative deviation bounds for additive functionals of the associated Markov process and exponential integrability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Pierre Monmarché

We consider the constrained sampling problem where the goal is to sample from a target distribution on a constrained domain. We propose skew-reflected non-reversible Langevin dynamics (SRNLD), a continuous-time stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Hengrong Du , Qi Feng , Changwei Tu , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods estimate the mean of a random variable by sampling an integrand at $n$ equidistributed points. For scrambled digital nets, the resulting variance is typically $\tilde O(n^{-\theta})$ where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Aadit Jain , Fred J. Hickernell , Art B. Owen , Aleksei G. Sorokin

The calibration of rheological parameters in the modeling of complex flows of non-Newtonian fluids can be a daunting task. In this paper we demonstrate how the framework of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) can be used to improve the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-11 Aricia Rinkens , Clemens V. Verhoosel , Nick O. Jaensson

In this paper, we establish hypocoercivity for the semiconductor Boltzmann equation with the presence of an external electrical potential under the Maxwell boundary condition. We will construct a modified entropy Lyapunov functional, which…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Hongxu Chen , Liu Liu , Jiayu Wan

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

This paper gives a review of concentration inequalities which are widely employed in non-asymptotical analyses of mathematical statistics in a wide range of settings, from distribution-free to distribution-dependent, from sub-Gaussian to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Huiming Zhang , Song Xi Chen

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Random-effects meta-analyses have been widely applied in evidence synthesis for various types of medical studies. However, standard inference methods (e.g. restricted maximum likelihood estimation) usually underestimate statistical errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

We derive novel concentration inequalities that bound the statistical error for a large class of stochastic optimization problems, focusing on the case of unbounded objective functions. Our derivations utilize the following key tools: 1) A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Jeremiah Birrell

We study the problem of sampling from a target distribution $\pi(q)\propto e^{-U(q)}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $U$ can be non-convex, via the Hessian-free high-resolution (HFHR) dynamics, which is a second-order Langevin-type process that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Xiaoyu Wang , Yingli Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider a family of unadjusted generalized HMC samplers, which includes standard position HMC samplers and discretizations of the underdamped Langevin process. A detailed analysis and optimization of the parameters is conducted in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Nicolaï Gouraud , Pierre Le Bris , Adrien Majka , Pierre Monmarché

This paper studies the rate of convergence for conditional quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC), which is a counterpart of conditional Monte Carlo. We focus on discontinuous integrands defined on the whole of $R^d$, which can be unbounded. Under…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-07 Zhijian He