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N. Fournier and A. Guillin obtained in their 2015 PTRF paper some bounds of the L^p-mean rate of convergence in Wasserstein distance of empirical distributions for a class of stationary mixing processes. In this paper, we propose to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

Using concentration inequalities, we give non-asymptotic confidence intervals for estimates obtained by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, when using the approximation $\mathbb{E}_{\pi} f\approx (1/(N-t_0))\cdot \sum_{i=t_0+1}^N…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

In this paper, we extend a recently introduced multi-fidelity control variate for the uncertainty quantification of the Boltzmann equation to the case of kinetic models arising in the study of multiagent systems. For these phenomena, where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-05 Lorenzo Pareschi , Torsten Trimborn , Mattia Zanella

A concentration result for quadratic form of independent subgaussian random variables is derived. If the moments of the random variables satisfy a "Bernstein condition", then the variance term of the Hanson-Wright inequality can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Pierre C Bellec

We show that the Bernstein-Hoeffding method can be employed to a larger class of generalized moments. This class includes the exponential moments whose properties play a key role in the proof of a well-known inequality of Wassily Hoeffding,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon , Yuyi Wang

We extend the hypocoercivity framework for piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP) Monte Carlo established in [Andrieu et. al. (2018)] to heavy-tailed target distributions, which exhibit subgeometric rates of convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Christophe Andrieu , Paul Dobson , Andi Q. Wang

Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) is an iterative algorithm used to generate samples from a distribution that is known only up to a normalizing constant. The nonasymptotic dependence of its mixing time on the dimension and target accuracy is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Niladri S. Chatterji , Jelena Diakonikolas , Michael I. Jordan , Peter L. Bartlett

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides asymptotically consistent estimates of intractable posterior expectations as the number of iterations tends to infinity. However, in large data applications, MCMC can be computationally expensive per…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-03 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey

Laplace-type results characterize the limit of sequence of measures $(\pi_\varepsilon)_{\varepsilon >0}$ with density w.r.t the Lebesgue measure $(\mathrm{d} \pi_\varepsilon / \mathrm{d} \mathrm{Leb})(x) \propto \exp[-U(x)/\varepsilon]$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Valentin De Bortoli , Agnès Desolneux

MCMC methods are used in Bayesian statistics not only to sample from posterior distributions but also to estimate expectations. Underlying functions are most often defined on a continuous state space and can be unbounded. We consider a…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-29 Krzysztof Latuszynski , Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

We provide quantitative upper bounds on the total variation mixing time of the Markov chain corresponding to the unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (uHMC) algorithm. For two general classes of models and fixed time discretization step size…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Andreas Eberle

We consider the following data perturbation model, where the covariates incur multiplicative errors. For two $n \times m$ random matrices $U, X$, we denote by $U \circ X$ the Hadamard or Schur product, which is defined as $(U \circ X)_{ij}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Shuheng Zhou

We establish the geometric ergodicity of the preconditioned Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm defined on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space, as developed in [Beskos et al., Stochastic Process. Appl., 2011]. This algorithm can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Cecilia F. Mondaini

Simulating the kinetic Langevin dynamics is a popular approach for sampling from distributions, where only their unnormalized densities are available. Various discretizations of the kinetic Langevin dynamics have been considered, where the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-08 Kyurae Kim , Samuel Gruffaz , Ji Won Park , Alain Oliviero Durmus

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $\target$ using the Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm and provide rate of convergences for this algorithm in terms of Wasserstein distance of order $2$. Our result holds as long as the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-04 Thomas Bonis

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

We investigate concentration properties of functions of random vectors with values in the discrete cube, satisfying the stochastic covering property (SCP) or the strong Rayleigh property (SRP). Our result for SCP measures include…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Radosław Adamczak , Bartłomiej Polaczyk

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi

This paper gives foundational results for the application of quasi-stationarity to Monte Carlo inference problems. We prove natural sufficient conditions for the quasi-limiting distribution of a killed diffusion to coincide with a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-07 Andi Q. Wang , Martin Kolb , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz