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We present a phenomenological study of stock price fluctuations of individual companies. We systematically analyze two different databases covering securities from the three major US stock markets: (a) the New York Stock Exchange, (b) the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 V. Plerou , P. Gopikrishnan , L. A. N. Amaral , M. Meyer , H. E. Stanley

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

We give an explicit formulaic algorithm and source code for building long-only benchmark portfolios and then using these benchmarks in long-only market outperformance strategies. The benchmarks (or the corresponding betas) do not involve…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-02 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu

This paper explores the use of deep residual networks for pricing European options on Petrobras, one of the world's largest oil and gas producers, and compares its performance with the Black-Scholes (BS) model. Using eight years of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-30 Joao Felipe Gueiros , Hemanth Chandravamsi , Steven H. Frankel

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

Financial reports and earnings communications contain large volumes of structured and semi structured information, making detailed manual analysis inefficient. Earnings conference calls provide valuable evidence about a firm's performance,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Tohida Rehman

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to support the analysis of complex financial disclosures, yet their reliability, behavioral consistency, and transparency remain insufficiently understood in high-stakes settings. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Md Talha Mohsin

Segment-level disclosures are a central component of financial reporting, providing insight into firms' internal organization and the allocation of economic activities across operating units. However, segment information is often presented…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yue Liu , Zhiyuan Cheng , Longying Lai

The discrepancy between realized volatility and the market's view of volatility has been known to predict individual equity options at the monthly horizon. It is not clear how this predictability depends on a forecast's ability to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Austin Pollok

The efficiency of the stock market has a significant impact on the potential return on investment. An efficient market eliminates the possibility of arbitrage and unexploited profit opportunities. This study analyzes the weak form…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Devansh Jain , Manthan Patel , Aman Narsaria , Siddharth Malik

This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Daniel O. Cajueiro , Benjamin M. Tabak

We propose to study market efficiency from a computational viewpoint. Borrowing from theoretical computer science, we define a market to be \emph{efficient with respect to resources $S$} (e.g., time, memory) if no strategy using resources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-09-01 Jasmina Hasanhodzic , Andrew W. Lo , Emanuele Viola

Effective Operation and Maintenance (O&M) is critical to reducing the Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) from wind power, yet the unstructured, free-text nature of turbine maintenance logs presents a significant barrier to automated analysis.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Max Malyi , Jonathan Shek , Alasdair McDonald , Andre Biscaya

The understanding of complex social or economic systems is an important scientific challenge. Here we present a comprehensive study of the Spanish Stock Exchange showing that most financial firms trading in that market are characterized by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Fabrizio Lillo , Esteban Moro , Gabriella Vaglica , Rosario N. Mantegna

Predicting future stock prices and their movement patterns is a complex problem. Hence, building a portfolio of capital assets using the predicted prices to achieve the optimization between its return and risk is an even more difficult…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Simulating long-term hydrothermal bid-based markets considering strategic agents is a challenging task. The representation of strategic agents considering intertemporal constraints within a stochastic framework brings additional complexity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-18 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Alexandre Street , Mario Veiga Pereira

This paper develops a non-Bayesian methodology to analyze the time-varying structure of international linkages and market efficiency in G7 countries. We consider a non-Bayesian time-varying vector autoregressive (TV-VAR) model, and apply it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Sooraj Sunil , Balakumar Balasingam

This paper investigates the presence of long memory in corporate bond and stock indices of six European Union countries from July 1998 to February 2015. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the DFA method and using a sliding window in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-24 Lisana B. Martinez , M. Belen Guercio , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Antonio Terceño
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