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Lasso and other regularization procedures are attractive methods for variable selection, subject to a proper choice of shrinkage parameter. Given a set of potential subsets produced by a regularization algorithm, a consistent model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Minh-Ngoc Tran

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

Multivariable predictive models are important statistical tools for providing synthetic diagnosis and prognostic algorithms based on multiple patients' characteristics. Their apparent discriminant and calibration measures usually have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-14 Katsuhiro Iba , Tomohiro Shinozaki , Kazushi Maruo , Hisashi Noma

Bagging, a powerful ensemble method from machine learning, improves the performance of unstable predictors. Although the power of Bagging has been shown mostly in classification problems, we demonstrate the success of employing Bagging in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-03 Luoluo Liu , Sang Peter Chin , Trac D. Tran

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang

Modern approaches to perform Bayesian variable selection rely mostly on the use of shrinkage priors. That said, an ideal shrinkage prior should be adaptive to different signal levels, ensuring that small effects are ruled out, while keeping…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

Consider a problem of predicting a response variable using a set of covariates in a linear regression model. If it is \emph{a priori} known or suspected that a subset of the covariates do not significantly contribute to the overall fit of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-13 SM Enayetur Raheem , S. Ejaz Ahmed

The high dimensional nature of genomics data complicates feature selection, in particular in low sample size studies - not uncommon in clinical prediction settings. It is widely recognized that complementary data on the features, `co-data',…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

In this paper, we propose the application of shrinkage strategies to estimate coefficients in the Bell regression models when prior information about the coefficients is available. The Bell regression models are well-suited for modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Zakariya Yahya Algamal

Penalized spline regression is a popular method for scatterplot smoothing, but there has long been a debate on how to construct confidence intervals for penalized spline fits. Due to the penalty, the fitted smooth curve is a biased estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Ning Dai

Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the less-explored domain of regression. We conduct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

One popular method for dealing with large-scale data sets is sampling. For example, by using the empirical statistical leverage scores as an importance sampling distribution, the method of algorithmic leveraging samples and rescales…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-25 Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu

The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,...,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of random functions $X_1,...,X_n$. We propose a smoothing splines estimator for the functional slope parameter based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Christophe Crambes , Alois Kneip , Pascal Sarda

Stacking regressions is an ensemble technique that forms linear combinations of different regression estimators to enhance predictive accuracy. The conventional approach uses cross-validation data to generate predictions from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski , Yan Shuo Tan

Variable selection naturally arises as a useful subject when faced with data with massive predictor space. In addition to the massive dimensionality, the data may be characterized by intra-subject correlation, and cure fraction, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Richard Tawiah , Shu Kay Ng , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Successful forecasting models strike a balance between parsimony and flexibility. This is often achieved by employing suitable shrinkage priors that penalize model complexity but also reward model fit. In this note, we modify the stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

This paper introduces a flexible regularization approach that reduces point estimation risk of group means stemming from e.g. categorical regressors, (quasi-)experimental data or panel data models. The loss function is penalized by adding…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-08 Phillip Heiler , Jana Mareckova