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We propose a data-driven framework to simplify the description of spatiotemporal climate variability into few entities and their causal linkages. Given a high-dimensional climate field, the methodology first reduces its dimensionality into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fabrizio Falasca , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

The climate is a forced and dissipative nonlinear system featuring non-trivial dynamics of a vast range of spatial and temporal scales. The understanding of the climate's structural and multiscale properties is crucial for the provision of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Valerio Lucarini , Richard Blender , Corentin Herbert , Salvatore Pascale , Francesco Ragone , Jeroen Wouters

Based on a dynamic systems approach to the Landau-Ginzburg model, a phase space description of the Earth System (ES) in the transition to the Anthropocene is presented. It is shown that, for a finite amount of human-driven change, there is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 O. Bertolami , F. Francisco

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

Machine learning has the potential to aid in mitigating the human effects of climate change. Previous applications of machine learning to tackle the human effects in climate change include approaches like informing individuals of their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Kyle Tilbury , Jesse Hoey

How strong are quantitative contributions of the key natural modes of climate variability and the anthropogenic factor characterized by the changes of the radiative forcing of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the trends of the surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-03 I. I. Mokhov , D. A. Smirnov

In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Orfeu Bertolami

Pattern dynamics triggered by fixing a boundary is investigated. By considering a reaction-diffusion equation that has a unique spatially-uniform and limit cycle attractor under a periodic or Neumann boundary condition, and then by choosing…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-05-09 Takahiro Kohsokabe , Kunihiko Kaneko

Complex Earth System Models are widely utilised to make conditional statements about the future climate under some assumptions about changes in future atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations; these statements are often referred to as…

We formulate a phenomenological effective field theory in which biological intelligence emerges as a macroscopic order parameter sustained by continuous metabolic flux. By modeling cognition as a coarse-grained neural activity field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-24 Gunn Kim

The understanding of the fundamental properties of the climate system has long benefitted from the use of simple numerical models able to parsimoniously represent the essential ingredients of its processes. Here we introduce a new model for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-11-16 Gabriele Vissio , Valerio Lucarini

The goal of this paper is to explore the potential multistability of the climate of a planet around the habitable zone. A thorough investigation of the thermodynamics of the climate system is performed for very diverse conditions of energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-05 Robert Boschi , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale

We conduct a sensitivity analysis of a new type of integrated climate-economic model recently proposed in the literature, where the core economic component is based on the Goodwin-Keen dynamics instead of a neoclassical growth model.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-11 Benjamin M. Bolker , Matheus R. Grasselli , Emma Holmes

We explore the effects of seasonal variability for the climate of Earth-like planets as determined by the two parameters polar obliquity and orbital eccentricity using a general circulation model of intermediate complexity. In the first…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-02 Manuel Linsenmeier , Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini

In this study, we introduce a physical framework to analyse and classify the thermal regimes governed by tidal heating and stellar irradiation. Although all planetary systems are exposed to stellar radiation, this source is not always the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-26 Daniel Fadrique Barbero

Our environment includes many factors, and each person on the Earth is permanently influenced by two of them: weather and magnetic field. It was found in the works of many investigators that the weather changes correlate with human health…

Space Physics · Physics 2008-10-03 O. V. Khabarova , S. Dimitrova

The increasing number and variety of extrasolar planets illustrates the importance of characterizing planetary perturbations. Planetary orbits are typically described by physically intuitive orbital elements. Here, we explicitly express the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Dimitri Veras , N. Wyn Evans

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple