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Click-through rate (CTR) prediction plays a critical role in recommender systems and online advertising. The data used in these applications are multi-field categorical data, where each feature belongs to one field. Field information is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Yang Sun , Junwei Pan , Alex Zhang , Aaron Flores

In online advertising, it is highly important to predict the probability and the value of a conversion (e.g., a purchase). It not only impacts user experience by showing relevant ads, but also affects ROI of advertisers and revenue of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Hui Gao , Yihan Yang

Online advertising revenues account for an increasing share of publishers' revenue streams, especially for small and medium-sized publishers who depend on the advertisement networks of tech companies such as Google and Facebook. Thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Max Würfel , Qiwei Han , Maximilian Kaiser

Advertising click fraud detection plays one of the vital roles in current E-commerce websites as advertising is an essential component of its business model. It aims at, given a set of corresponding features, e.g., demographic information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Weibin Li , Qiwei Zhong , Qingyang Zhao , Hongchun Zhang , Xiaonan Meng

In most real-world large-scale online applications (e.g., e-commerce or finance), customer acquisition is usually a multi-step conversion process of audiences. For example, an impression->click->purchase process is usually performed of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Dongbo Xi , Zhen Chen , Peng Yan , Yinger Zhang , Yongchun Zhu , Fuzhen Zhuang , Yu Chen

In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate, that is, the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, such as purchasing goods is fundamental in estimating the value of displaying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Shota Yasui , Gota Morishita , Komei Fujita , Masashi Shibata

Sales promotions, as short-term incentives to stimulate product purchases, play a pivotal role in modern e-commerce marketing strategies. During promotional events, user behavior patterns exhibit distinct characteristics compared to regular…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xin Song , Kaiyuan Li , Jinxin Hu

One of the most challenging problems in computational advertising is the prediction of click-through and conversion rates for bidding in online advertising auctions. An unaddressed problem in previous approaches is the existence of highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-13 Flavian Vasile , Damien Lefortier , Olivier Chapelle

With expansion of the video advertising market, research to predict the effects of video advertising is getting more attention. Although effect prediction of image advertising has been explored a lot, prediction for video advertising is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Jun Ikeda , Hiroyuki Seshime , Xueting Wang , Toshihiko Yamasaki

Predicting click and conversion probabilities when bidding on ad exchanges is at the core of the programmatic advertising industry. Two separated lines of previous works respectively address i) the prediction of user conversion probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Eustache Diemert , Julien Meynet , Pierre Galland , Damien Lefortier

The prediction of click-through rate (CTR) is crucial for industrial applications, such as online advertising. AUC is a commonly used evaluation indicator for CTR models. For advertising platforms, online performance is generally evaluated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Zhaocheng Liu , Guangxue Yin

Optimizing conversions is crucial in modern online advertising systems, enabling advertisers to deliver relevant products to users and drive business outcomes. However, accurately predicting conversion events remains challenging due to…

Recently, Factorization Machines (FM) has become more and more popular for recommendation systems, due to its effectiveness in finding informative interactions between features. Usually, the weights for the interactions is learnt as a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Longfei Li , Peilin Zhao , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction plays important role in personalized advertising and recommender systems. Though many models have been proposed such as FM, FFM and DeepFM in recent years, feature engineering is still a very important…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Qingyun She , Zhiqiang Wang , Junlin Zhang

Multi-output prediction deals with the prediction of several targets of possibly diverse types. One way to address this problem is the so called problem transformation method. This method is often used in multi-label learning, but can also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Quay Au , Daniel Schalk , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Ramona Schoedel , Clemens Stachl , Bernd Bischl

Factorization Machines (FMs) are a supervised learning approach that enhances the linear regression model by incorporating the second-order feature interactions. Despite effectiveness, FM can be hindered by its modelling of all feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Jun Xiao , Hao Ye , Xiangnan He , Hanwang Zhang , Fei Wu , Tat-Seng Chua

In online advertising, once an ad campaign is deployed, the automated bidding system dynamically adjusts the bidding strategy to optimize Cost Per Action (CPA) based on the number of ad conversions. For ads with a long conversion delay,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Peng Cui , Yiming Yang , Fusheng Jin , Siyuan Tang , Yunli Wang , Fukang Yang , Yalong Jia , Qingpeng Cai , Fei Pan , Changcheng Li , Peng Jiang

This paper leverages machine-learned predictions to design competitive algorithms for online conversion problems with the goal of improving the competitive ratio when predictions are accurate (i.e., consistency), while also guaranteeing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Bo Sun , Russell Lee , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , Adam Wierman , Danny H. K. Tsang

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate (CVR), meaning the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, is a fundamental task for estimating the value of displaying an advertisement to a user.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Yuta Saito , Gota Morishita , Shota Yasui