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The proportional hazards (PH) model is arguably one of the most popular models used to analyze time to event data arising from clinical trials and longitudinal studies, among many others. In many such studies, the event time of interest is…

We propose a framework to analyze stability for a class of linear non-autonomous hybrid systems, where the continuous evolution of solutions is governed by an ordinary differential equation and the instantaneous changes are governed by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Adnane Saoud , Mohamed Maghenem , Antonio Loría , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

Consider a linear time-invariant (LTI) dynamical system monitored by a network of sensors, modeled as nodes of an underlying directed communication graph. We study the problem of collaboratively estimating the state of the system when…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Aritra Mitra , Shreyas Sundaram

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed Poisson process under a probability measure $P$, a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$, such that $P$ and $Q$ are progressively equivalent and $S$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Demetrios P. Lyberopoulos , Nikolaos D. Macheras

The random energy model (REM) is the simplest spin glass model which exhibits replica symmetry breaking. It is well known since the 80's that its overlaps are non-selfaveraging and that their statistics satisfy the predictions of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-08-28 Bernard Derrida , Peter Mottishaw

In this paper, we propose the discrete time Compound Beta-Binomial Risk Model with by-claims, delayed by-claims and randomized dividends. We then analyze the Gerber-Shiu function for the cases where the dividend threshold $d=0$ and $d>0$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-12 Aparna B. S , Neelesh S Upadhye

In this work, a system subject to different deterioration processes is analysed. The arrival of the degradation processes to the system is modelled using a shot-noise Cox process. The degradation processes grow according to an homogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-18 L. Bautista , Inma T. Castro , L. Landesa

Current status data are commonly encountered in medical and epidemiological studies in which the failure time for study units is the outcome variable of interest. Data of this form are characterized by the fact that the failure time is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-25 Yan Liu , Minggen Lu , Christopher S. McMahan

In this paper, we consider the mixed ratcheting-periodic dividend strategies for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk model, in which dividend payments can both be made continuously without falling and discretely at the jump times of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Fuyun Sun , Zhanjie Song

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We consider an approach to credit risk in which the information about the time of bankruptcy is modelled using a Brownian bridge that starts at zero and is conditioned to equal zero when the default occurs. This raises the question whether…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matteo L. Bedini , Michael Hinz

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

We introduce a longevity feature to the classical optimal dividend problem by adding a constraint on the time of ruin of the firm. We extend the results in \cite{HJ15}, now in context of one-sided L\'evy risk models. We consider de…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco

We consider the Bachelier model with information delay where investment decisions can be based only on observations from $H>0$ time units before. Utility indifference prices are studied for vanilla options and we compute their non-trivial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-05 Peter Bank , Yan Dolinsky

We find the optimal investment strategy in a Black-Scholes market to minimize the probability of so-called {\it lifetime exponential Parisian ruin}, that is, the probability that wealth exhibits an excursion below zero of an exponentially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Xiaoqing Liang , Virginia R. Young

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

Let $\{B(t), t\ge 0\}$ be a Brownian motion. Consider the Brownian motion risk model with interest rate collection and tax payment defined by \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Long Bai , Peng Liu

A resilient state estimation scheme for uniformly observable nonlinear systems, based on a method for local identification of sensor attacks, is presented. The estimation problem is combinatorial in nature, and so many methods require…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-19 Junsoo Kim , Jin Gyu Lee , Henrik Sandberg , Karl H. Johansson

The Poisson process of order $i$ is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 A. Maheshwari , E. Orsingher , A. S. Sengar