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We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

In this work, we consider moments of exponential functionals of L\'{e}vy processes on a deterministic horizon. We derive two convolutional identities regarding these moments. The first one relates the complex moments of the exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Zbigniew Palmowski , Hristo Sariev , Mladen Savov

Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

We propose a numerical method for the valuation of European-style options under two-asset infinite-activity exponential L\'evy models. Our method extends the effective approach developed by Wang, Wan & Forsyth (2007) for the 1-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Massimiliano Moda , Karel J. in 't Hout , Michèle Vanmaele , Fred Espen Benth

We discuss dual time evolution scenarios which, albeit running according to the same real time clock, in each considered case may be mapped among each other by means of an analytic continuation in time. This dynamical duality is a generic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-18 Piotr Garbaczewski

Let $\xi$ be a L\'{e}vy process and $I_\xi(t):=\int_{0}^te^{-\xi_s}\mathrm{d} s$, $t\geq 0,$ be the exponential functional of L\'{e}vy processes on deterministic horizon. Given that $\lim_{t\to \infty}\xi_t=-\infty$ we evaluate for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Martin Minchev , Mladen Savov

We present a new class of Bayesian dynamic models for bivariate price-realized volatility time series in financial forecasting. A novel dynamic gamma process model adopted for realized volatility is integrated with traditional Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Patrick Woitschig , Mike West

We consider stochastic point processes generating time series exhibiting power laws of spectrum and distribution density (Phys. Rev. E 71, 051105 (2005)) and apply them for modeling the trading activity in the financial markets and for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-18 B. Kaulakys , M. Alaburda , V. Gontis

In the face of the upcoming 30th anniversary of econophysics, we review our contributions and other related works on the modeling of the long-range memory phenomenon in physical, economic, and other social complex systems. Our group has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-31 Rytis Kazakevicius , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Bronislovas Kaulakys , Vygintas Gontis

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

Scaling properties in financial fluctuations are reviewed from the standpoint of statistical physics. We firstly show theoretically that the balance of demand and supply enhances fluctuations due to the underlying phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 H. Takayasu , M. Takayasu , M. P. Okazaki , K. Marumo , T. Shimizu

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a L\'evy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kaushik Matia , Luis A. Nunes Amaral , Stephen P. Goodwin , H. Eugene Stanley

We consider a class of L\'evy-type processes on which spectral analysis technics can be made to produce optimal results, in particular for the decay rate of their survival probability and for the spectral gap of their ground state…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Grégoire Véchambre

The L\'evy-stable distribution is the attractor of distributions which hold power laws with infinite variance. This distribution has been used in a variety of research areas, for example in economics it is used to model financial market…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-11 Karina Arias-Calluari , Fernando Alonso-Marroquin , Michael Harre

A new stochastic theory of a foreign exchange markets dynamics is developed. As a result we have the new probability distribution which well describes statistical and scaling dependencies ''experimentally'' observed in foreign exchange…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Nikolai Laskin

Pricing of high-dimensional options is a deep problem of the Theoretical Financial Mathematics. In this article we present a new class of L\'{e}vy driven models of stock markets. In our opinion, any market model should be based on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-10 Alexander Kushpel

We present an outline of the theory of certain L\'evy-driven, multivariate stochastic processes, where the processes are represented by rational transfer functions (Continuous-time AutoRegressive Moving Average or CARMA models) and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Robert Stelzer

We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shunsuke Kaji , Muneya Matsui

This paper studies de Finetti's optimal dividend problem with capital injection. We confirm the optimality of a double barrier strategy when the underlying risk model follows a L\'evy process that may have positive and negative jumps. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Kei Noba