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Calibration ensures that probabilistic forecasts meaningfully capture uncertainty by requiring that predicted probabilities align with empirical frequencies. However, many existing calibration methods are specialized for post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Charles Marx , Sofian Zalouk , Stefano Ermon

The purpose of this article is to describe an adaptive decision-making support model aimed at improving the efficiency of engineering infrastructure reconstruction program management in the context of developing the architecture and work…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Illia Khudiakov , Vladyslav Pliuhin , Sergiy Plankovskyy , Yevgen Tsegelnyk

Assuring the correct behavior of cyber-physical systems requires significant modeling effort, particularly during early stages of the engineering and design process when a system is not yet available for testing or verification of proper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-27 Georgios Bakirtzis , Christina Vasilakopoulou , Cody H. Fleming

The complexity and accuracy of current and future precision cosmology observational campaigns has made it essential to develop an efficient technique for directly combining simulation and observational datasets to determine cosmological and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Katrin Heitmann , David Higdon , Charles Nakhleh , Salman Habib

How does the formulation of a target variable affect performance within the ML pipeline? The experiments in this study examine numeric targets that have been binarized by comparing against a threshold. We compare the predictive performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Jessica Clark

The interpretability of machine learning, particularly for deep neural networks, is crucial for decision making in real-world applications. One approach is replacing the un-interpretable machine learning model with a surrogate model, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-22 Keiichi Kisamori , Keisuke Yamazaki , Yuto Komori , Hiroshi Tokieda

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect probabilistic forecasts. While average performance metrics are typically available, it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To convey…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a computationally demanding control technique that allows dealing with multiple-input and multiple-output systems, while handling constraints in a systematic way. The necessity of solving an optimization…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Bulat Khusainov , Eric C. Kerrigan , George A. Constantinides

Calibration of sensors is a fundamental step to validate their operation. This can be a demanding task, as it relies on acquiring a detailed modelling of the device, aggravated by its possible dependence upon multiple parameters. Machine…

Applications of machine learning tools to problems of physical interest are often criticized for producing sensitivity at the expense of transparency. To address this concern, we explore a data planing procedure for identifying combinations…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-03-29 Spencer Chang , Timothy Cohen , Bryan Ostdiek

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

Data-driven engineering refers to systematic data collection and processing using machine learning to improve engineering systems. Currently, the implementation of data-driven engineering relies on fundamental data science and software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Simon Raedler , Matthias Rupp , Eugen Rigger , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

In this paper, we describe the design of an inexpensive and agile climate sensor system which can be repurposed easily to measure various pollutants. We also propose the use of machine learning regression methods to calibrate CO2 data from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Travis Barrett , Amit Kumar Mishra

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

A wind turbine works with the principle of extracting energy from the wind to generate electricity. The power generated is directly proportional to the wind speed available. There are two major types of wind turbine design namely the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-30 Aravind CV , Rajparthiban R , Rajprasad R , Grace I , Rozita Teymourzadeh , M. Norhisam

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in accelerated materials innovation in the context of the process-structure-property chain. In this regard, it is essential to take into account manufacturing processes and tailor materials…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-12 Lukas Morand , Tarek Iraki , Johannes Dornheim , Stefan Sandfeld , Norbert Link , Dirk Helm

Performing a computer experiment can be viewed as observing a mapping between the model parameters and the corresponding model outputs predicted by the computer model. In view of this, experimental design for computer experiments can be…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-29 Chang-Han Rhee , Enlu Zhou , Peng Qiu

Identification of model parameters in computer simulations is an important topic in computer experiments. We propose a new method, called the projected kernel calibration method, to estimate these model parameters. The proposed method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Rui Tuo

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman
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