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The determination of the sample size required by a crossover trial typically depends on the specification of one or more variance components. Uncertainty about the value of these parameters at the design stage means that there is often a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

There are numerous methods for detecting anomalies in time series, but that is only the first step to understanding them. We strive to exceed this by explaining those anomalies. Thus we develop a novel attribution scheme for multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Violeta Teodora Trifunov , Maha Shadaydeh , Björn Barz , Joachim Denzler

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

Considering multivariate strongly mixing time series, nonparametric tests for a constant copula with specified or unspecified change point (candidate) are derived; the tests are consistent against general alternatives. A tapered block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Axel Bücher , Martin Ruppert

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

Graphical models use graphs to compactly capture stochastic dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. Inference over graphical models corresponds to finding marginal probability distributions given joint probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-02 Divyanshu Vats , José M. F. Moura

Considerable interest has recently been focused on studying multiple phenotypes simultaneously in both epidemiological and genomic studies, either to capture the multidimensionality of complex disorders or to understand shared etiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Denis Agniel , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

Extreme value theory provides rigorous theory and statistical tools for extrapolation in machine learning, particularly in settings where traditional methods struggle due to data scarcity in the tails. A broad range of tasks benefit from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Anne Sabourin

We present asymptotic and finite-sample results on the use of stochastic blockmodels for the analysis of network data. We show that the fraction of misclassified network nodes converges in probability to zero under maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-22 David S. Choi , Patrick J. Wolfe , Edoardo M. Airoldi

The first order behavior of multivariate heavy-tailed random vectors above large radial thresholds is ruled by a limit measure in a regular variation framework. For a high dimensional vector, a reasonable assumption is that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Holger Drees , Anne Sabourin

Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short periods with several large observations, known as extremal blocks. We study cluster statistics summarizing the behavior of functions acting on these extremal blocks.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Gloria Buriticá , Olivier Wintenberger

Wall-clock-time is minimized for a solution to a linear-program with block-diagonal-structure, by decomposing the linear-program into as many small-sized subproblems as possible, each block resulting in a separate subproblem, when the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Deepak Ponvel Chermakani

We develop a new paradigm for finding bifurcations of solutions of nonlinear problems, which is based on the detection of extreme values of new type of variational functional associated with the considering problem. The variational…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Yavdat Il'yasov , Alexsandr Ivanov

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

This paper introduces a novel sub-sampling block maxima technique to model and characterize environmental extreme risks. We examine the relationships between block size and block maxima statistics derived from the Gaussian and generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Tuoyuan Cheng , Xiao Peng , Achmad Choiruddin , Xiaogang He , Kan Chen

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

A common method to reduce the uncertainty of causal inferences from experiments is to assign treatments in fixed proportions within groups of similar units: blocking. Previous results indicate that one can expect substantial reductions in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Fredrik Sävje

We prove a large deviations principle for the empirical law of the block sizes of a uniformly distributed non-crossing partition. As an application we obtain a variational formula for the maximum of the support of a compactly supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Janosch Ortmann

New phase transition phenomena have recently been discovered for the stochastic block model, for the special case of two non-overlapping symmetric communities. This gives raise in particular to new algorithmic challenges driven by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Emmanuel Abbe , Colin Sandon

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben
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