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The ability to identify stock market trends has obvious advantages for investors. Buying stock on an upward trend (as well as selling it in case of downward movement) results in profit. Accordingly, the start and end-points of the trend are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Ekaterina Zolotareva

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

Motivated by the prevalence of prediction problems in the economy, we study markets in which firms sell models to a consumer to help improve their prediction. Firms decide whether to enter, choose models to train on their data, and set…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-10 Krishna Dasaratha , Juan Ortner , Chengyang Zhu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated an impressive capability known as In-context Learning (ICL), which enables them to acquire knowledge from textual demonstrations without the need for parameter updates. However, many studies…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Yi Su , Yunpeng Tai , Yixin Ji , Juntao Li , Bowen Yan , Min Zhang

Machine learning (ML)-based solutions are rapidly changing the landscape of many fields, including structural engineering. Despite their promising performance, these approaches are usually only demonstrated as proof-of-concept in structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Mohsen Zaker Esteghamati , Brennan Bean , Henry V. Burton , M. Z. Naser

Multivariate volatility modeling and forecasting are crucial in financial economics. This paper develops a copula-based approach to model and forecast realized volatility matrices. The proposed copula-based time series models can capture…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-21 Wenjing Wang , Minjing Tao

To tackle ever-increasing city traffic congestion problems, researchers have proposed deep learning models to aid decision-makers in the traffic control domain. Although the proposed models have been remarkably improved in recent years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Hyunwook Lee , Cheonbok Park , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Jaegul Choo , Sungahn Ko

This paper advances empirical demand analysis by integrating multimodal product representations derived from artificial intelligence (AI). Using a detailed dataset of toy cars on textit{Amazon.com}, we combine text descriptions, images, and…

Despite their effectiveness and popularity in offline or model-based reinforcement learning (RL), transformers remain underexplored in online model-free RL due to their sensitivity to training setups and model design decisions such as how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Nikita Kachaev , Daniil Zelezetsky , Egor Cherepanov , Alexey K. Kovelev , Aleksandr I. Panov

We consider an auction type equilibrium model with an insider in line with the one originally introduced by Kyle in 1985 and then extended to the continuous time setting by Back in 1992. The novelty introduced with this paper is that we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 José M. Corcuera , Giulia Di Nunno

A widely recognized limitation of molecular prediction models is their reliance on structures observed in the training data, resulting in poor generalization to out-of-distribution compounds. Yet in drug discovery, the compounds most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Jina Kim , Jeffrey Willette , Bruno Andreis , Sung Ju Hwang

Diffusion models, a family of generative models based on deep learning, have become increasingly prominent in cutting-edge machine learning research. With a distinguished performance in generating samples that resemble the observed data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Lequan Lin , Zhengkun Li , Ruikun Li , Xuliang Li , Junbin Gao

The vast advances in Machine Learning over the last ten years have been powered by the availability of suitably prepared data for training purposes. The future of ML-enabled enterprise hinges on data. As such, there is already a vibrant…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Yifan Li , Xiaohui Yu , Nick Koudas

It has been shown that some macroeconomic time series, especially those where outliers could be present, can be well modelled using heavy tailed distributions for the noise components. Methods for deciding when and where heavy-tailed models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. A. D. Aston

The model-X conditional randomization test (CRT) is a flexible and powerful testing procedure for the conditional independence hypothesis: X is independent of Y conditioning on Z. Though having many attractive properties, the model-X CRT…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Shuangning Li , Molei Liu

Designing modern imitation learning (IL) policies requires making numerous decisions, including the selection of feature encoding, architecture, policy representation, and more. As the field rapidly advances, the range of available options…

We develop a new approach to estimating flexible demand models with exogenous supply-side shocks. Our approach avoids conventional assumptions of exogenous product characteristics, putting no restrictions on product entry, despite using…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-08 Kirill Borusyak , Mauricio Caceres Bravo , Peter Hull

The dynamic nature of open-world scenarios has attracted more attention to class incremental learning (CIL). However, existing CIL methods typically presume the availability of complete ground-truth labels throughout the training process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jiaming Liu , Hongyuan Liu , Zhili Qin , Wei Han , Yulu Fan , Qinli Yang , Junming Shao

We study the problem of modeling purchase of multiple products and utilizing it to display optimized recommendations for online retailers and e-commerce platforms. We present a parsimonious multi-purchase family of choice models called the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Theja Tulabandhula , Deeksha Sinha , Saketh Reddy Karra , Prasoon Patidar

In this paper, we investigate the extrapolation capabilities of implicit deep learning models in handling unobserved data, where traditional deep neural networks may falter. Implicit models, distinguished by their adaptability in layer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Juliette Decugis , Alicia Y. Tsai , Max Emerling , Ashwin Ganesh , Laurent El Ghaoui