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We introduce a utility-driven bounded-confidence model of opinion dynamics in which opinions associated with higher utility exert stronger social influence. In the regime where all agents belong to a single opinion cluster, we derive a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-05-22 Alex Siebenmorgen , Juan G. Restrepo

Many multiagent applications require an agent to learn quickly how to interact with previously unknown other agents. To address this problem, researchers have studied learning algorithms which compute posterior beliefs over a hypothesised…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Stefano V. Albrecht , Jacob W. Crandall , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa

The content that a recommender system (RS) shows to users influences them. Therefore, when choosing a recommender to deploy, one is implicitly also choosing to induce specific internal states in users. Even more, systems trained via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Micah Carroll , Anca Dragan , Stuart Russell , Dylan Hadfield-Menell

Whether citations can be objectively and reliably used to measure productivity and scientific quality of articles and researchers can, and should, be vigorously questioned. However, citations are widely used to estimate the productivity of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-26 George Chacko , Minhyuk Park , Vikram Ramavarapu , Ananth Grama , Pablo Robles-Granda , Tandy Warnow

We develop a systematic approach to quantum probability as a theory of rational betting in quantum gambles. In these games of chance the agent is betting in advance on the outcomes of several (finitely many) incompatible measurements. One…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 I. Pitowsky

Prentice & Pyke (1979) established that the maximum likelihood estimate of an odds-ratio in a case-control study is the same as would be found by running a logistic regression: in other words, for this specific target the incorrect…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-25 Simon P. J. Byrne , A. Philip Dawid

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

Human behavior in interactive settings is shaped not only by individual objectives but also by shared constraints with others, such as safety. Understanding how people allocate responsibility, i.e., how much one deviates from their desired…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Isaac Remy , Caleb Chang , Karen Leung

A risk measure that is consistent with the second-order stochastic dominance and additive for sums of independent random variables can be represented as a weighted entropic risk measure (WERM). The expected utility maximization problem with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Jianming Xia

This work studies the statistical properties of the maximum penalized likelihood approach in a semi-parametric framework. We recall the penalized likelihood approach for estimating a function and review some asymptotic results. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Daniel Commenges , Jérémie Bureau , Hein Putter

The goal of an experiment is to evaluate the profit, loss, or the amount of a physical entity over a period. The measurements $X_t$ can be influenced by the values measured in the past; hence we describe the situation with an autoregression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Jana Jurečková , Jan Picek

Human preferences in RLHF are typically modeled as a function of the human's reward function or corresponding optimal state-action values. In this work, we propose that human beliefs about the capabilities of the agent being trained also…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sylee Dandekar , Shripad Deshmukh , Frank Chiu , W. Bradley Knox , Scott Niekum

Empirical research shows that individuals' responses to treatments vary along latent characteristics, such as innate ability or motivation. Therefore, a policymaker seeking to maximize welfare may consider designing policies based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-06 Giacomo Opocher

As large language models (LLMs) become integral to intelligent user interfaces (IUIs), their role as decision-making agents raises critical concerns about alignment. Although extensive research has addressed issues such as factuality, bias,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Anna Karnysheva , Christian Drescher , Dietrich Klakow

We state the problem of inverse reinforcement learning in terms of preference elicitation, resulting in a principled (Bayesian) statistical formulation. This generalises previous work on Bayesian inverse reinforcement learning and allows us…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-30 Constantin Rothkopf , Christos Dimitrakakis

We propose a decision-analytical approach to comparing the flexibility of decision situations from the perspective of a decision-maker who exhibits constant risk-aversion over a monetary value model. Our approach is simple yet seems to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Ross D. Shachter , Marvin Mandelbaum

Human interactions are influenced by emotions, temperament, and affection, often conflicting with individuals' underlying preferences. Without explicit knowledge of those preferences, judging whether behaviour is appropriate becomes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Victor Villin , Christos Dimitrakakis

This paper studies a risk-sensitive decision-making problem under uncertainty. It considers a decision-making process that unfolds over a fixed number of stages, in which a decision-maker chooses among multiple alternatives, some of which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chung-Han Hsieh , Yi-Shan Wong

We consider the robust exponential utility maximization problem in discrete time: An investor maximizes the worst case expected exponential utility with respect to a family of nondominated probabilistic models of her endowment by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Daniel Bartl