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We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

Metapopulation models are commonly used in ecology, evolution, and epidemiology. These models usually entail homogeneity assumptions within patches and study networks of migration between patches to generate insights into conservation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Diepreye Ayabina , Hasan Sevil , Adam Kleczkowski , M. Gabriela M. Gomes

We develop a stochastic two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear recidivism to investigate infectious disease dynamics in heterogeneous populations. Extending a deterministic framework, we introduce stochasticity to account for random…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-21 Juan G. Calvo , Mario I. Simoy , Juan P. Aparicio , José E. Chacón , Fabio Sanchez

Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Wesley Cota , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Silvio C. Ferreira , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

In this paper we consider a simple two-patch model in which a population affected by a disease can freely move. We assume that the capacity of the interconnected paths is limited, and thereby influencing the migration rates. Possible…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Silvia Motto , Ezio Venturino

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, environmental and population-level mechanisms determine the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-07 Alberto Aleta , Andreia N. S. Hisi , Sandro Meloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno

The transmission dynamics of Tuberculosis (TB) involve complex epidemiological and socio-economical interactions between individuals living in highly distinct regional conditions. The level of exogenous reinfection and first time infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-15 Victor Moreno , Baltazar Espinoza , Kamal Barley , Marlio Paredes , Derdei Bichara , Anuj Mubayi , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

We investigate the role of migration patterns on the spread of epidemics in complex networks. We enhance the SIS-diffusion model on metapopulations to a nonlinear diffusion. Specifically, individuals move randomly over the network but at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-16 Jordi Ripoll , Albert Avinyó , Marta Pellicer , Joan Saldaña

The structure of heterogeneous networks and human mobility patterns profoundly influence the spreading of endemic diseases. In small-scale communities, individuals engage in social interactions within confined environments, such as homes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-20 Yusheng Li , Yichao Yao , Minyu Feng , Tina P. Benko , Matjaž Perc , Jernej Završnik

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

This paper examines an epidemic patch model with mass-action transmission mechanism and asymmetric connectivity matrix. Results on the global dynamics of solutions and the spatial structures of endemic solutions are obtained. In particular,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Rachidi Salako , Yixiang Wu

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

We study the impact of contact heterogeneity on epidemic dynamics. A system characterized by multiple susceptible populations is considered. The description of the spread of an infectious disease is obtained through the study of a system of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

We study the effect of migration between coupled populations, or patches, on the stability properties of multistrain disease dynamics. The epidemic model used in this work displays a Hopf bifurcation to oscillations in a single well mixed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-29 Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo
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