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In this paper we derive a statistical law of Life. It governs the probability of death, or complementary of survival, of the living organisms. We have deduced such a law coupling the widely used Weibull statistics, developed for describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 N. M. Pugno

Population dynamics in random ecological networks are investigated by analyzing a simple deterministic equation. It is found that a sequence of abrupt changes of populations punctuating quiescent states characterize the long time behavior.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Shin-ichi Sasa , Tsuyoshi Chawanya

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

A common goal in modeling demographic rates is to compare two or more groups. For ex- ample comparing mortality rates between men and women or between geographic regions may reveal health inequalities. A popular class of models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Theresa Smith

Meta-analysis can be formulated as combining $p$-values across studies into a joint $p$-value function, from which point estimates and confidence intervals can be derived. We extend the meta-analytic estimation framework based on combined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 David Kronthaler , Leonhard Held

We study metapopulation models for the spread of epidemics in which different subpopulations (cities) are connected by fluxes of individuals (travelers). This framework allows to describe the spread of a disease on a large scale and we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-20 Aurelien Gautreau , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy

On a global level, ecological communities are being perturbed at an unprecedented rate by human activities and environmental instabilities. Yet, we understand little about what factors facilitate or impede long-term persistence of these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-24 Johannes Nauta , Manlio De Domenico

Rapidly mutating pathogens may be able to persist in the population and reach an endemic equilibrium by escaping hosts' acquired immunity. For such diseases, multiple biological, environmental and population-level mechanisms determine the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-07 Alberto Aleta , Andreia N. S. Hisi , Sandro Meloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno

Using high frequency data, we have studied empirically the change of volatility, also called volatility derivative, for various time horizons. In particular, the correlation between the volatility derivative and the volatility realized in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Gilles Zumbach , Paul Lynch

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

Natural and artificial collectives exhibit heterogeneities across different dimensions, contributing to the complexity of their behavior. We investigate the effect of two such heterogeneities on collective opinion dynamics: heterogeneity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-07 Vito Mengers , Mohsen Raoufi , Oliver Brock , Heiko Hamann , Pawel Romanczuk

Atomistic modelling of phase transitions, chemical reactions, or other rare events that involve overcoming high free energy barriers usually entails prohibitively long simulation times. Introducing a bias potential as a function of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Federico Giberti , Bingqing Cheng , Gareth Aneurin Tribello , Michele Ceriotti

We propose and investigate a one-parameter probabilistic mixture of one-dimensional elementary cellular automata under the guise of a model for the dynamics of a single-species unstructured population with nonoverlapping generations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-09 J. Ricardo G. Mendonça

Understanding the mechanisms of species coexistence has always been a fundamental topic in ecology. Classical theory predicts that interspecific competition may select for traits that stabilize niche differences, although recent work shows…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-16 José F. Fontanari , Margarida Matos , Mauro Santos

Recently synthesized colloids and biological systems such as proteins, viruses and monoclonal antibodies are heterogeneously charged, i.e., different regions of their surfaces carry different amount of positive or negative charge. Because…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Daniele Notarmuzi , Emanuela Bianchi

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherwise bias results. Random effects or mixed models approaches,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 J. R. Lockwood , Daniel F. McCaffrey

One of the most salient spatio-temporal patterns in population ecology is the synchronization of fluctuating local populations across vast spatial extent. Synchronization of abundance has been widely observed across a range of spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-01 Emily Wall , Frederic Guichard , Antony R. Humphries

Additive genetic variance in natural populations is commonly estimated using mixed models, in which the covariance of the genetic effects is modeled by a genetic similarity matrix derived from a dense set of markers. An important but…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-09 Willem Kruijer

Acyclic phase-type (PH) distributions have been a popular tool in survival analysis, thanks to their natural interpretation in terms of ageing towards its inevitable absorption. In this paper, we consider an extension to the bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Albrecher Hansjörg , Bladt Martin , Alaric J. A Müller

Rare populations, such as endangered species, drug users and individuals infected by rare diseases, tend to cluster in regions. Adaptive cluster designs are generally applied to obtain information from clustered and sparse populations. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-11 Kelly Cristina M. Gonçalves , Fernando A. S. Moura