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We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

The latent class model is a powerful unsupervised clustering algorithm for categorical data. Many statistics exist to test the fit of the latent class model. However, traditional methods to evaluate those fit statistics are not always…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Joris Mulder , Jeroen K. Vermunt

I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Adam McCloskey

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xinjia Chen

Generalized extreme value (GEV) regression is often more adapted when we investigate a relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ which represents a rare event and potentiel predictors $\mathbf{X}$. In particular, we use the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme

G-computation has become a widely used robust method for estimating unconditional (marginal) treatment effects with covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Statistical inference in this context typically relies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Xin Zhang , Haitao Chu , Lin Liu , Satrajit Roychoudhury

This paper introduces two methods for estimating reliable prediction intervals for local linear least-squares regressions, named Bounded Oscillation Prediction Intervals (BOPI). It also proposes a new measure for comparing interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-13 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Masoud Ebadi Kivaj

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Classical measures of inequality use the mean as the benchmark of economic dispersion. They are not sensitive to inequality at the left tail of the distribution, where it would matter most. This paper presents a new inequality measurement…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-13 Mario Schlemmer

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

Obtaining accurate estimates of machine learning model uncertainties on newly predicted data is essential for understanding the accuracy of the model and whether its predictions can be trusted. A common approach to such uncertainty…

In this paper we study a bootstrap strategy for estimating the variance of a mean taken over large multifactor crossed random effects data sets. We apply bootstrap reweighting independently to the levels of each factor, giving each…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Art B. Owen , Dean Eckles

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

The bootstrap procedure has emerged as a general framework to construct prediction intervals for future observations in autoregressive time series models. Such models with outlying data points are standard in real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We design a debiased parametric bootstrap framework for statistical inference from differentially private data. Existing usage of the parametric bootstrap on privatized data ignored or avoided handling possible biases introduced by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Zhanyu Wang , Arin Chang , Jordan Awan

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

We propose a censored quantile regression estimator motivated by unbiased estimating equations. Under the usual conditional independence assumption of the survival time and the censoring time given the covariates, we show that the proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Chenlei Leng , Xingwei Tong

This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Ryan Chen , Javier Cabrera

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff