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Related papers: Records for the moving average of a time series

200 papers

We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

Finding the underlying probability distributions of a set of observed sequences under the constraint that each sequence is generated i.i.d by a distinct distribution is considered. The number of distributions, and hence the number of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Sara Shahi , Daniela Tuninetti , Natasha Devroye

The patterns of motion of mobile agents has received recently wide attention in the literature. There is a number of recent studies centered around the motion behavior of many agents ranging from albatrosses to human beings. Special…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-04-26 R. Mansilla

We study the order statistics of a random walk (RW) of $n$ steps whose jumps are distributed according to symmetric Erlang densities $f_p(\eta)\sim |\eta|^p \,e^{-|\eta|}$, parametrized by a non-negative integer $p$. Our main focus is on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-03 Matteo Battilana , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We first consider the sequential detection of transient signals by generalizing the moving average chart to exponential family and study the false detection probability (FDP) and power of detection (POD) in the steady state. Then windowed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu

We propose a model of sub-diffusion in which an external force is acting on a particle at all times not only at the moment of jump. The implication of this assumption is the dependence of the random trapping time on the force with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-04-16 Sergei Fedotov , Nickolay Korabel

Suppose $k$ balls are dropped into $n$ boxes independently with uniform probability, where $n, k$ are large with ratio approximately equal to some positive real $\lambda$. The maximum box count has a counterintuitive behavior: first of all,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Andrea Ottolini

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

Superslow diffusion, i.e., the long-time diffusion of particles whose mean-square displacement (variance) grows slower than any power of time, is studied in the framework of the decoupled continuous-time random walk model. We show that this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-11-24 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

In this paper we study the distribution of hitting times for a class of random dynamical systems. We prove that for invariant measures with super-polynomial decay of correlations hitting times to dynamically defined cylinders satisfy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Jerome Rousseau , Benoit Saussol , Paulo Varandas

In probability theory, there is a tendency to treat one random variable with a given distribution as being just as good as any other. By and large this is fine because probability is (mostly) concerned with distributional properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-31 Douglas Rizzolo

We analyse the probability densities of daily rainfall amounts at a variety of locations on the Earth. The observed distributions of the amount of rainfall fit well to a q-exponential distribution with exponent q close to q=1.3. We discuss…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-10 G. Cigdem Yalcin , Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

Power-law type probability density functions spanning several orders of magnitude are found for different avalanche properties. We propose a methodology to overcome empirical constrains that limit the power-law range for the distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-28 Víctor Navas-Portella , Isabel Serra , Álvaro Corral , Eduard Vives

The ensemble properties and time-averaged observables of a memory-induced diffusive-superdiffusive transition are studied. The model consists in a random walker whose transitions in a given direction depend on a weighted linear combination…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-11 Adrian A. Budini

We investigate a L\'evy-Walk alternating between velocities $\pm v_0$ with opposite sign. The sojourn time probability distribution at large times is a power law lacking its mean or second moment. The first case corresponds to a ballistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 D. Froemberg , E. Barkai

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

Continuous time random walk models with decoupled waiting time density are studied. When the spatial one jump probability density belongs to the Levy distribution type and the total time transition is exponential a generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 C. Budde , D. Prato , M. R=E9

We address the theory of records for integrated random walks with finite variance. The long-time continuum limit of these walks is a non-Markov process known as the random acceleration process or the integral of Brownian motion. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

The classic N p chart gives a signal if the number of successes in a sequence of inde- pendent binary variables exceeds a control limit. Motivated by engineering applications in industrial image processing and, to some extent, financial…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland , Ewaryst Rafalowicz

We consider random walks with continuous and symmetric step distributions. We prove universal asymptotics for the average proportion of the age of the kth longest lasting record for k=1,2,... and for the probability that the record of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Réka Szabó , Bálint Vető