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Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems. In this setting, recent works have shown how to get a statistics of extremes in agreement with the classical Extreme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-12-01 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

Conditional extreme value models have been introduced by Heffernan and Resnick (2007) to describe the asymptotic behavior of a random vector as one specific component becomes extreme. Obviously, this class of models is related to classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen

In many random phenomena, such as life-testing experiments and environmental data (like rainfall data), there are often positive values and an excess of zeros, which create modeling challenges. In life testing, immediate failures result in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Shivshankar Nila , Ishapathik Das , N. Balakrishna

Multivariate longitudinal data of mixed-type are increasingly collected in many science domains. However, algorithms to cluster this kind of data remain scarce, due to the challenge to simultaneously model the within- and between-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

We consider the problem of model-based clustering in the presence of many correlated, mixed continuous and discrete variables, some of which may have missing values. Discrete variables are treated with a latent continuous variable approach…

Extreme values of real phenomena are events that occur with low frequency, but can have a large impact on real life. These are, in many practical problems, high-dimensional by nature (e.g. Tawn, 1990; Coles and Tawn, 1991). To study these…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Statistical extreme value theory is concerned with the use of asymptotically motivated models to describe the extreme values of a process. A number of commonly used models are valid for observed data that exceed some high threshold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 J. Lee , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Mixtures of multivariate contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions are developed for handling asymmetric clusters in the presence of outliers (also referred to as bad points herein). In addition to the parameters of the related…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Katherine Morris , Antonio Punzo , Paul D. McNicholas , Ryan P. Browne

Motivated by recent suggestions that a number of observed galaxy clusters have masses which are too high for their given redshift to occur naturally in a standard model cosmology, we use Extreme Value Statistics to construct confidence…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-07-30 Ian Harrison , Peter Coles

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

We introduce a novel exploratory technique, termed biarchetype analysis, which extends archetype analysis to simultaneously identify archetypes of both observations and features. This innovative unsupervised machine learning tool aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Aleix Alcacer , Irene Epifanio , Ximo Gual-Arnau

In cluster analysis, it can be useful to interpret the partition built from the data in the light of external categorical variables which were not directly involved to cluster the data. An approach is proposed in the model-based clustering…

Technological advancements have enabled the recording of spiking activities from large neuron ensembles, presenting an exciting yet challenging opportunity for statistical analysis. This project considers the challenges from a common type…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-05 Zitong Zhang , Shizhe Chen

Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

We propose a method that performs anomaly detection and localisation within heterogeneous data using a pairwise undirected mixed graphical model. The data are a mixture of categorical and quantitative variables, and the model is learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-21 Romain Laby , François Roueff , Alexandre Gramfort

Motivated by examples from extreme value theory we introduce the general notion of a cluster process as a limiting point process of returns of a certain event in a time series. We explore general invariance properties of cluster processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

This study introduces a novel estimation method for the entries and structure of a matrix $A$ in the linear factor model $\mathbf{X} = A\textbf{Z} + \textbf{E}$. This is applied to an observable vector $\mathbf{X} \in \mathbb{R}^d$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Alexis Boulin

Block maxima methods constitute a fundamental part of the statistical toolbox in extreme value analysis. However, most of the corresponding theory is derived under the simplifying assumption that block maxima are independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Nan Zou , Stanislav Volgushev , Axel Bücher
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