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Surrogate testing is used widely to determine the nature of the process generating the given empirical sample. In the present study, the usefulness of phase-randomized surrogates, amplitude adjusted Fourier transform (AAFT) and iterated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) statistics play a central role in many applications. A common situation where SNR is studied is when a continuous time signal is sampled at a fixed frequency with some noise in the background. While estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Francesco Giordano , Pietro Coretto

Structured prediction involves learning to predict complex structures rather than simple scalar values. The main challenge arises from the non-Euclidean nature of the output space, which generally requires relaxing the problem formulation.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Junjie Yang , Matthieu Labeau , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Many dynamical systems can be successfully analyzed by representing them as networks. Empirically measured networks and dynamic processes that take place in these situations show heterogeneous, non-Markovian, and intrinsically correlated…

Machine learning has become a powerful tool for discovering governing laws of dynamical systems from data. However, most existing approaches degrade severely when observations are sparse, noisy, or irregularly sampled. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Vedanta Thapar , Abhinav Gupta

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

We compare two theoretically distinct approaches to generating artificial (or ``surrogate'') data for testing hypotheses about a given data set. The first and more straightforward approach is to fit a single ``best'' model to the original…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 James Theiler , Dean Prichard

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

The growing availability and importance of time series data across various domains, including environmental science, epidemiology, and economics, has led to an increasing need for time-series causal discovery methods that can identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Using Neuroevolution combined with Novelty Search to promote behavioural diversity is capable of constructing high-performing ensembles for classification. However, using gradient descent to train evolved architectures during the search can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Rui P. Cardoso , Emma Hart , David Burth Kurka , Jeremy V. Pitt

The schemes for the generation of surrogate data in order to test the null hypothesis of linear stochastic process undergoing nonlinear static transform are investigated as to their consistency in representing the null hypothesis. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Kugiumtzis

High-performance scientific simulations, important for comprehension of complex systems, encounter computational challenges especially when exploring extensive parameter spaces. There has been an increasing interest in developing deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pradeep Bajracharya , Javier Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Geoffrey Fox , Shantenu Jha , Linwei Wang

We consider the task of data-driven identification of dynamical systems, specifically for systems whose behavior at large frequencies is non-standard, as encoded by a non-trivial relative degree of the transfer function or, alternatively, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Davide Pradovera , Ion Victor Gosea , Jan Heiland

In the wild, we often encounter collections of sequential data such as electrocardiograms, motion capture, genomes, and natural language, and sequences may be multichannel or symbolic with nonlinear dynamics. We introduce a new method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Jonathan Y. Zhou , Yao Xie

Symbolic regression is a powerful system identification technique in industrial scenarios where no prior knowledge on model structure is available. Such scenarios often require specific model properties such as interpretability, robustness,…

In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-valued inputs, which is critical for robust design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ghifari Adam Faza , Jolan Wauters , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

The Fourier phase information play a key role for the quantified description of nonlinear data. We present a novel tool for time series analysis that identifies nonlinearities by sensitively detecting correlations among the Fourier phases.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-01 Korbinian Schreiber , Heike I. Modest , Christoph Räth

Recurrent neural networks are nowadays successfully used in an abundance of applications, going from text, speech and image processing to recommender systems. Backpropagation through time is the algorithm that is commonly used to train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Cedric De Boom , Thomas Demeester , Bart Dhoedt