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Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Penalized empirical risk minimization with a surrogate loss function is often used to learn a high-dimensional linear decision rule in classification problems. Although much of the literature focus on the generalization error, there is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Muxuan Liang , Yang Ning , Maureen A Smith , Ying-Qi Zhao

We extend Neural Processes (NPs) to sequential data through Recurrent NPs or RNPs, a family of conditional state space models. RNPs model the state space with Neural Processes. Given time series observed on fast real-world time scales but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Timon Willi , Jonathan Masci , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Christian Osendorfer

We introduce a conditional pseudo-reversible normalizing flow for constructing surrogate models of a physical model polluted by additive noise to efficiently quantify forward and inverse uncertainty propagation. Existing surrogate modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Minglei Yang , Pengjun Wang , Ming Fan , Dan Lu , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

We propose a statistical-stochastic surrogate modeling approach to predict the response of the mean and variance statistics under various initial conditions and external forcing perturbations. The proposed modeling framework extends the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-07 Di Qi , John Harlim

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

For many novel applications, such as patient-specific computer-aided surgery, conventional solution techniques of the underlying nonlinear problems are usually computationally too expensive and are lacking information about how certain can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Saurabh Deshpande , Jakub Lengiewicz , Stéphane P. A. Bordas

Physical modelling synthesis aims to generate audio from physical simulations of vibrating structures. Thin elastic plates are a common model for drum membranes. Traditional numerical methods like finite differences and finite elements…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Carlos De La Vega Martin , Rodrigo Diaz Fernandez , Mark Sandler

Surrogate modeling of non-linear oscillator networks remains challenging due to discrepancies between simplified analytical models and real-world complexity. To bridge this gap, we investigate hybrid reservoir computing, combining reservoir…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Andrew Shannon , Conor Houghton , David Barton , Martin Homer

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

Astronomical surveys of celestial sources produce streams of noisy time series measuring flux versus time ("light curves"). Unlike in many other physical domains, however, large (and source-specific) temporal gaps in data arise naturally…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-30 Brett Naul , Joshua S. Bloom , Fernando Pérez , Stéfan van der Walt

The use of deep neural network (DNN) models as surrogates for linear and nonlinear structural dynamical systems is explored. The goal is to develop DNN based surrogates to predict structural response, i.e., displacements and accelerations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Nan Feng , Guodong Zhang , Kapil Khandelwal

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

Data-driven surrogate modeling has emerged as a promising approach for reducing computational expenses of multiscale simulations. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is a common choice for modeling of path-dependent behavior. However, previous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Yangzi He , Shabnam J. Semnani

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

Real-world sequential signals, such as audio or video, contain critical information that is often embedded within long periods of silence or noise. While recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are designed to process such data efficiently, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Bojian Yin , Shurong Wang , Haoyu Tan , Sander Bohte , Federico Corradi , Guoqi Li

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

Identifying a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work on finite sample analysis for linear system identification typically uses data from a single system trajectory under i.i.d random inputs,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Machine learning classification techniques have been used widely to recognize the feasible design domain and discover hidden patterns in engineering design. An accurate classification model needs a large dataset; however, generating a large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-13 Xianping Du , Kai Zhang , Onur Bilgen , Laurent Burlion , Hongyi Xu