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The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

When an agent, person, vehicle or robot is moving through an unknown environment without GNSS signals, online mapping of nonlinear terrains can be used to improve position estimates when the agent returns to a previously mapped area.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Frida Marie Viset , Rudy Helmons , Manon Kok

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSMs) are a non-parametric model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They become increasingly popular in data-driven modeling approaches, i.e. when no first-order physics-based models are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm for hidden Markov models, in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom

We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

We cast motion planning under uncertainty as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the optimal posterior distribution has an explicit form. To approximate this posterior, this work frames an optimization problem in the space of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zinuo Chang , Hongzhe Yu , Patricio Vela , Yongxin Chen

With the significant advancement in quantum computation in the past couple of decades, the exploration of machine-learning subroutines using quantum strategies has become increasingly popular. Gaussian process regression is a widely used…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-07 Siddhartha Das , George Siopsis , Christian Weedbrook

Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) have become increasingly popular for unsupervised tasks such as dimensionality reduction and missing data recovery due to their flexibility and non-linear nature. An importance-weighted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jian Xu , Shian Du , Junmei Yang , Qianli Ma , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

An inference method for Gaussian process augmented state-space models are presented. This class of grey-box models enables domain knowledge to be incorporated in the inference process to guarantee a minimum of performance, still they are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

We present a class of algorithms for state estimation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach is based on a variational Lagrangian formulation that casts Bayesian inference as a sequence of entropic trust-region updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Hany Abdulsamad , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Simo Särkkä