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Electric demand and renewable power are highly variable, and the solution of a planning model relies on capturing this variability. This paper proposes a hybrid multi-area method that effectively captures both the intraday and interday…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Simon H. Tindemans

As the decarbonization of power systems accelerates, there has been increasing interest in capacity expansion models for their role in guiding this transition. Representative period selection is an important component of capacity expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-08 Osten Anderson , Nanpeng Yu , Konstantinos Oikonomou , Di Wu

The growing penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) is inevitable to reach net zero emissions. In this regard, optimal planning and operation of power systems are becoming more critical due to the need for modeling the short-term…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-09 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Simon H. Tindemans

The growing share of renewable energy makes the optimization of power flows in power system models computationally more complicated, due to the widely distributed weather-dependent electricity generation. This article evaluates two methods…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Oriol Raventós , Julian Bartels

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

To account for volatile renewable energy supply, energy systems optimization problems require high temporal resolution. Many models use time-series clustering to find representative periods to reduce the amount of time-series input data and…

Energy system optimization often relies on time series aggregation to ensure computational tractability. Aggregation generally loses the chronology of time steps, which renders the storage level representation challenging. Typically, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jacob Mannhardt , Lukas Kunz , Giovanni Sansavini

Wind power forecasting (WPF) is significant to guide the dispatching of grid and the production planning of wind farm effectively. The intermittency and volatility of wind leading to the diversity of the training samples have a major impact…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Wenbin Wu , Mugen Peng

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Power sector capacity expansion models (CEMs) that are used for studying future low-carbon grid scenarios must incorporate detailed representation of grid operations. Often CEMs are formulated to model grid operations over representative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Marc Barbar , Dharik S. Mallapragada

Due to the progressive growth of the amount of data available in a wide variety of scientific fields, it has become more difficult to ma- nipulate and analyze such information. Even though datasets have grown in size, the K-means algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Marco Capó , Aritz Pérez , José Antonio Lozano

Stochastic programming is widely used for energy system design optimization under uncertainty but can exponentially increase the computational complexity with the number of scenarios. Common scenario reduction techniques, like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Boyung Jürgens , Hagen Seele , Hendrik Schricker , Christiane Reinert , Niklas von der Assen

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

This paper analyzes different models for evaluating investments in Energy Storage Systems (ESS) in power systems with high penetration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). First of all, two methodologies proposed in the literature are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-24 Diego A. Tejada-Arango , Maya Domeshek , Sonja Wogrin , Efraim Centeno

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

The accurate representation of variable renewable generation (RES, e.g., wind, solar PV) assets in capacity expansion planning (CEP) studies is paramount to capture spatial and temporal correlations that may exist between sites and impact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-14 David Radu , Antoine Dubois , Mathias Berger , Damien Ernst

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

The growing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems requires planning models to account for not only demand variability but also fluctuations in renewable availability during operational periods. Capturing this temporal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Grigory Neustroev , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , German Morales-Espana , Mathijs M. de Weerdt

To reduce computational complexity, macro-energy system models commonly implement reduced time-series data. For renewable energy systems dependent on seasonal storage and characterized by intermittent renewables, like wind and solar,…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke , Mario Kendziorski

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud
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