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A stochastic model for the evolution of a growing population is proposed, in order to explain empirical power-law distributions in the frequency of family names as a function of the family size. Preliminary results show that the predicted…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Damian H. Zanette , Susanna C. Manrubia

Over the last few decades, ecologists have come to appreciate that key ecological patterns, which describe ecological communities at relatively large spatial scales, are not only scale dependent, but also intimately intertwined. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-13 Fabio Peruzzo , Sandro Azaele

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

We consider a Moran-type model of cultural evolution, which describes how traits emerge, are transmitted, and get lost in populations. Our analysis focuses on the underlying cultural genealogies; they were first described by Aguilar and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-04 Joe Yuichiro Wakano , Hisashi Ohtsuki , Yutaka Kobayashi , Ellen Baake

In nature, most microbial populations have complex spatial structures that can affect their evolution. Evolutionary graph theory predicts that some spatial structures modelled by placing individuals on the nodes of a graph affect the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 Alia Abbara , Lisa Pagani , Celia García-Pareja , Anne-Florence Bitbol

We study a stochastic branching model for a population structured by a quantitative phenotypic trait and subject to births, deaths, and mutations. In a regime of large population and small mutations, and in logarithmic scales of size and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Sepideh Mirrahimi , Viet Chi Tran

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Consider a population that is expanding in two-dimensional space. Suppose we collect data from a sample of individuals taken at random either from the entire population, or from near the outer boundary of the population. A quantity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Shirshendu Ganguly , Jason Schweinsberg , Yubo Shuai

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt

A class of models for large-scale evolution and mass extinctions is presented. These models incorporate environmental changes on all scales, from influences on a single species to global effects. This is a step towards a unified picture of…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

Ecosystems display a complex spatial organization. Ecologists have long tried to characterize them by looking at how different measures of biodiversity change across spatial scales. Ecological neutral theory has provided simple predictions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-13 Simone Pigolotti , Massimo Cencini , Daniel Molina , Miguel A. Muñoz

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

Frequency dependent selection and demographic fluctuations play important roles in evolutionary and ecological processes. Under frequency dependent selection, the average fitness of the population may increase or decrease based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-23 Weini Huang , Christoph Hauert , Arne Traulsen

Random walks and related spatial stochastic models have been used in a range of application areas including animal and plant ecology, infectious disease epidemiology, developmental biology, wound healing, and oncology. Classical random walk…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson , Ruth E. Baker

This paper investigates the problem of adjusting for spatial effects in genomic prediction. Despite being seldomly considered in genomic prediction, spatial effects often affect phenotypic measurements of plants. We consider a Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-09 Xiaojun Mao , Somak Dutta , Raymond K. W. Wong , Dan Nettleton

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We consider statistical patterns of variation in growth rates for over 400 species of breeding birds across North America surveyed from 1966 to 1998. We report two results. First, the standard deviation of population growth rates decays as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Timothy H. Keitt , Luis A. N. Amaral , Sergey V. Buldyrev , H. E. Stanley

The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 M. H. Vainstein , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

Several populational networks present complex topologies when implemented in evolutionary algorithms. A common feature of these topologies is the emergence of a power law. Power law behavior with different scaling factors can also be…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-08 Francisco Leonardo Bezerra Martins , José Cláudio do Nascimento

In mathematical population genetics, it is well known that one can represent the genealogy of a population by a tree, which indicates how the ancestral lines of individuals in the population coalesce as they are traced back in time. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Götz Kersting , Jason Schweinsberg , Anton Wakolbinger