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Tweedie regression models provide a flexible family of distributions to deal with non-negative highly right-skewed data as well as symmetric and heavy tailed data and can handle continuous data with probability mass at zero. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Célestin C. Kokonendji

This paper proposes an adaptive penalized weighted mean regression for outlier detection of high-dimensional data. In comparison to existing approaches based on the mean shift model, the proposed estimators demonstrate robustness against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Jiaqi Li , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang , Wei Tu

Skewed probit regression is but one example of a statistical model that generalizes a simpler model, like probit regression. All skew-symmetric distributions and link functions arise from symmetric distributions by incorporating a skewness…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of statistics. Estimation procedures for the popular functional linear model either suffer from lack of robustness or are computationally burdensome. To address these shortcomings, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

A new class of general exponential ranking models is introduced which we label angle-based models for ranking data. A consensus score vector is assumed, which assigns scores to a set of items, where the scores reflect a consensus view of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Hang Xu , Mayer Alvo , Philip L. H. Yu

Prediction uncertainty quantification is a key research topic in recent years scientific and business problems. In insurance industries (\cite{parodi2023pricing}), assessing the range of possible claim costs for individual drivers improves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Alokesh Manna , Aditya Vikram Sett , Dipak K. Dey , Yuwen Gu , Elizabeth D. Schifano , Jichao He

Recent studies observed a surprising concept on model test error called the double descent phenomenon, where the increasing model complexity decreases the test error first and then the error increases and decreases again. To observe this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Chathurika S Abeykoon , Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Hailin Sang

Orthogonal statistical learning and double machine learning have emerged as general frameworks for two-stage statistical prediction in the presence of a nuisance component. We establish non-asymptotic bounds on the excess risk of orthogonal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Lang Liu , Carlos Cinelli , Zaid Harchaoui

We propose a non-parametric variant of binary regression, where the hypothesis is regularized to be a Lipschitz function taking a metric space to [0,1] and the loss is logarithmic. This setting presents novel computational and statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Ariel Avital , Klim Efremenko , Aryeh Kontorovich , David Toplin , Bo Waggoner

This paper investigates in depth the fundamental properties of the two-parameter generalized Euler logarithm and its inverse, the associated deformed $(a,b)$-exponential function. We systematically clarify the parameter domains that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Andrzej Cichocki

We propose an $L_{2}$-based penalization algorithm for functional linear regression models, where the coefficient function is shrunk towards a data-driven shape template $\gamma$, which is constrained to belong to a class of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Edoardo Belli , Simone Vantini

In this paper, we study semiparametric inference for linear multivariate Hawkes processes, a class of point processes widely used to describe self and mutually exciting phenomena. We establish a convolution theorem giving the best limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Mael Duverger , Judith Rousseau

Metric learning has become an attractive field for research on the latest years. Loss functions like contrastive loss, triplet loss or multi-class N-pair loss have made possible generating models capable of tackling complex scenarios with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Alfonso Medela , Artzai Picon

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions represents a challenging suite of problems in modern statistics. In this work we analyse the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution, a two parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-13 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data. Thus far, GLMs are difficult to scale to more than a few dozen categories due to non-conjugacy or strong posterior dependencies when using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-02 Michael T. Wojnowicz , Shuchin Aeron , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes

We find the local rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) of a one dimensional convex regression function when (a) a certain number of derivatives vanish at the point of interest, and (b) the true regression function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Promit Ghosal , Bodhisattva Sen

We study the problem of estimating a multivariate convex function defined on a convex body in a regression setting with random design. We are interested in optimal rates of convergence under a squared global continuous $l_2$ loss in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

Weak-to-strong generalization (W2SG) refers to the phenomenon where a strong student model, trained on a dataset labeled by a weak teacher, ultimately outperforms the teacher on the target task. Recent studies attribute this performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Gengze Xu , Wei Yao , Ziqiao Wang , Yong Liu
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