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We propose a model for the dynamics of a limit order book in a liquid market where buy and sell orders are submitted at high frequency. We derive a functional central limit theorem for the joint dynamics of the bid and ask queues and show…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-01 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

There is a pervasive assumption that low latency access to an exchange is a key factor in the profitability of many high-frequency trading strategies. This belief is evidenced by the "arms race" undertaken by certain financial firms to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-17 David Byrd , Sruthi Palaparthi , Maria Hybinette , Tucker Hybinette Balch

This paper focuses on an extension of the Limit Order Book (LOB) model with general shape introduced by Alfonsi, Fruth and Schied. Here, the additional feature allows a time-varying LOB depth. We solve the optimal execution problem in this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-16 Aurélien Alfonsi , José Infante Acevedo

We establish a first and second-order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model (LOB) in a single (''critical'') scaling regime where market and limit orders arrive at a common time scale. With our choice of scaling…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-27 Ulrich Horst , Dörte Kreher , Konstantins Starovoitovs

Financial market simulation (FMS) serves as a promising tool for understanding market anomalies and the underlying trading behaviors. To ensure high-fidelity simulations, it is crucial to calibrate the FMS model for generating data closely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Yuanzhe Li , Yue Wu , Muyao Zhong , Shengcai Liu , Peng Yang

We introduce a microscopic model for the dynamics of the order book to study how the lack of liquidity influences price fluctuations. We use the average density of the stored orders (granularity $g$) as a proxy for liquidity. This leads to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 M. Cristelli , V. Alfi , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

In this work, we aim to reconcile several apparently contradictory observations in market microstructure: is the famous "square-root law" of metaorder impact, which decays with time, compatible with the random-walk nature of prices and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-05 Guillaume Maitrier , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In an order-driven financial market, the price of a financial asset is discovered through the interaction of orders - requests to buy or sell at a particular price - that are posted to the public limit order book (LOB). Therefore, LOB data…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-03 Zijian Shi , Yu Chen , John Cartlidge

We build an agent-based model for the order book with three types of market participants: informed trader, noise trader and competitive market makers. Using a Glosten-Milgrom like approach, we are able to deduce the whole limit order book…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-01 Weibing Huang , Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Pamela Saliba , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

In this paper we derive a second order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model, in which the dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-05 Ulrich Horst , Dörte Kreher

In this study, we introduce a physical model inspired by statistical physics for predicting price volatility and expected returns by leveraging Level 3 order book data. By drawing parallels between orders in the limit order book and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Haochen Li , Yi Cao , Maria Polukarov , Carmine Ventre

An empirical stochastic analysis of high-frequency, tick-by-tick order data of NASDAQ100 listed stocks is conducted using a first-order discrete-time Markov chain model to explore intraday order transition dynamics. This analysis focuses on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 S. R. Luwang , A. Rai , Md. Nurujjaman , F. Petroni

We examine the dynamics of the bid and ask queues of a limit order book and their relationship with the intensity of trade arrivals. In particular, we study the probability of price movements and trade arrivals as a function of the quote…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-03 Alexander Lipton , Umberto Pesavento , Michael G Sotiropoulos

We study the interaction between returns and order flow imbalances in the S&P 500 E-mini futures market using a structural VAR model identified through heteroskedasticity. The model is estimated at one-second frequency for each 15-minute…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Makoto Takahashi

We study the analytical properties of a one-side order book model in which the flows of limit and market orders are Poisson processes and the distribution of lifetimes of cancelled orders is exponential. Although simplistic, the model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Matteo Prata , Giuseppe Masi , Leonardo Berti , Viviana Arrigoni , Andrea Coletta , Irene Cannistraci , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Paola Velardi , Novella Bartolini

This paper deals with a stochastic order-driven market model with waiting costs, for order books with heterogenous traders. Offer and demand of liquidity drives price formation and traders anticipate future evolutions of the order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-11 Aimé Lachapelle , Jean-Michel Lasry , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Pierre-Louis Lions

This paper deals with the problem of computing, in an online fashion, a maximum benefit multi-commodity flow (\ONMCF), where the flow demands may be bigger than the edge capacities of the network. We present an online, deterministic,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-04-24 Guy Even , Moti Medina

Order flow in equity markets is remarkably persistent in the sense that order signs (to buy or sell) are positively autocorrelated out to time lags of tens of thousands of orders, corresponding to many days. Two possible explanations are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-02 Bence Toth , Imon Palit , Fabrizio Lillo , J. Doyne Farmer

We study the relationship between price spread, volatility and trading volume. We find that spread forms as a result of interplay between order liquidity and order impact. When trading volume is small adding more liquidity helps improve…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-24 Jack Sarkissian
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