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We propose a general method for constructing hypothesis tests and confidence sets that have finite sample guarantees without regularity conditions. We refer to such procedures as "universal." The method is very simple and is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

We introduce a method based on Conformal Prediction (CP) to quantify the uncertainty of full ranking algorithms. We focus on a specific scenario where $n+m$ items are to be ranked by some ``black box'' algorithm. It is assumed that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Pierre Humbert , Gilles Blanchard

The main theme of this paper is a modification of the likelihood ratio test (LRT) for testing high dimensional covariance matrix. Recently, the correct asymptotic distribution of the LRT for a large-dimensional case (the case $p/n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Young-Geun Choi , Chi Tim Ng , Johan Lim

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

In the paper, we suggest three tests on the validity of a factor model which can be applied for both small dimensional and large dimensional data. Both the exact and asymptotic distributions of the resulting test statistics are derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Taras Bodnar , Markus Reiss

This paper investigates the central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics of high dimensional sample covariance matrices of the form $\mathbf{B}_n=n^{-1}\sum_{j=1}^{n}\mathbf{Q}\mathbf{x}_j\mathbf{x}_j^{*}\mathbf{Q}^{*}$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Shurong Zheng , Zhidong Bai , Jianfeng Yao , Hongtu Zhu

We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables $X$ and $Y$ given a potentially high-dimensional random vector $Z$ that may contain confounding factors. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-08 Thomas B. Berrett , Yi Wang , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

This paper considers testing linear hypotheses of a set of mean vectors with unequal covariance matrices in large dimensional setting. The problem of testing the hypothesis $H_0 : \sum_{i=1}^q \beta_i \bmu_i =\bmu_0 $ for a given vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-22 Dandan Jiang

Conformal Test Martingales (CTMs) are a standard method within the Conformal Prediction framework for testing the crucial assumption of data exchangeability by monitoring deviations from uniformity in the p-value sequence. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry

The Complete Mediation Test (CMT) serves as a specialized approach of mediation analysis to assess whether an independent variable A, influences an outcome variable Y exclusively through a mediator M, without any direct effect. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Yichin Tsai , Wan-Tzu Chang , Jia Jyun Sie , Cathy SJ Fann , Iebin Lian

Statistical inferences for sample correlation matrices are important in high dimensional data analysis. Motivated by this, this paper establishes a new central limit theorem (CLT) for a linear spectral statistic (LSS) of high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Jiti Gao , Xiao Han , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang

There exist a number of tests for assessing the nonparametric heteroscedastic location-scale assumption. Here we consider a goodness-of-fit test for the more general hypothesis of the validity of this model under a parametric functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis , Charl Pretorius

In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement residual-based specification testing procedure for detecting structural changes in factor models, which is powerful against both smooth and abrupt structural changes with unknown break dates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Yayi Yan

In model-based testing (MBT) we may have to deal with a non-deterministic model, e.g. because abstraction was applied, or because the software under test itself is non-deterministic. The same test case may then trigger multiple possible…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-09-13 I. S. W. B. Prasetya , Rick Klomp

Recently, a growing body of research has focused on either optimizing CTR model architectures to better model feature interactions or refining training objectives to aid parameter learning, thereby achieving better predictive performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Moyu Zhang , Yun Chen , Yujun Jin , Jinxin Hu , Yu Zhang , Xiaoyi Zeng

A fundamental assumption underling any Hypothesis Testing (HT) problem is that the available data follow the parametric model assumed to derive the test statistic. Nevertheless, a perfect match between the true and the assumed data models…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-09-27 S. Fortunati , M. S. Greco , F. Gini

This paper develops a consistent series-based specification test for semiparametric panel data models with fixed effects. The test statistic resembles the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test statistic in parametric models and is based on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-13 Ivan Korolev

In this article, we first establish the joint central limit theorem (CLT) for the extreme eigenvalues of the sample correlation matrix of high-dimensional random walks with cross-sectional dependence. We further investigate the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Ruihan Liu , Chen Wang

We construct a prequential test of probabilistic forecasts that does not reject correct forecasts when the data-generating processes is exchangeable and is not manipulable by a false forecaster.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Alvaro Sandroni , Eran Shmaya
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