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200 papers

The Global Methane Pledge and other methane measures may potentially undermine CO2 mitigation in certain countries, unless they are considered as additional to the existing Nationally Determined Contributions to strengthen overall…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-08 Katsumasa Tanaka , Kushal Tibrewal , Philippe Ciais , Olivier Boucher

As the number of detected rocky extrasolar planets increases, the question of whether their surfaces could be habitable is becoming more pertinent. On Earth, the long-term carbonate silicate cycle is able to regulate surface temperatures…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-08 Amanda Kruijver , Dennis Höning , Wim van Westrenen

We use a three-dimensional model to calculate steady-state climates at various intervals in Earth's future, across a parameter space of increasing insolation and decreasing CO$_2$ mixing ratio. Comparison with prior results shows an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-22 Jacob Haqq-Misra , Eric Wolf

Paleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is ~3 deg-C for doubled CO2, including only fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks, is ~6 deg-C for doubled CO2 for the range of climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-11-13 J. Hansen , M. Sato , P. Kharecha , D. Beerling , R. Berner , V. Masson-Delmotte , M. Pagani , M. Raymo , D. L. Royer , J. C. Zachos

Based on new radiative transfer numerical evaluations, we reconsider an argument presented by Schack in 1972 that says that saturation of the absorption of infrared radiation by carbon dioxide in the atmosphere sets in as soon as the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Dieter Schildknecht

Effective climate action depends on dismantling the assumptions and oversimplifications that have become the basis of climate policy. The assumption that greenhouse gases (GHG) are fungible and the use of single-point values in normalizing…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Alyssa R. Pfadt-Trilling , Marie-Odile P. Fortier

The evidence for abundant liquid water on early Mars despite the faint young Sun is a long-standing problem in planetary research. Here we present new ab initio spectroscopic and line-by-line climate calculations of the warming potential of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-03 Robin Wordsworth , Yulia Kalugina , Sergei Lokshtanov , Andrei Vigasin , Bethany Ehlmann , James Head , Cecilia Sanders , Huize Wang

The forcings due to changing concentrations of Earth's five most important, naturally occurring greenhouse gases, H$_2$O, CO$_2$, O$_3$, N$_2$O and CH$_4$ as well as CF$_4$ and SF$_6$ were evaluated for the case of a cloud-free atmosphere.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-31 W. A. van Wijngaarden , W. Happer

We study the impact of multi-layered clouds (low-level water and high-level ice clouds) on the thermal emission spectra of Earth-like planets orbiting different types of stars. Clouds have an important influence on such planetary emission…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 D. Kitzmann , A. B. C. Patzer , P. von Paris , M. Godolt , H. Rauer

An intriguing problem in climate science is the existence of Earth's glacial cycles. We show that it is possible to generate these periodic changes in climate by means of the Earth's carbon cycle as the main determinant factor. The carbon…

The effect of changing greenhouse gas concentrations on climate was examined. Calculations of the climate sensitivity, the warming of the Earth due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2, are discussed. Ontario was responsible for 0.35% of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 W. A. van Wijngaarden

We study a two-layer energy balance model, that allows for vertical exchanges between a surface layer and the atmosphere. The evolution equations of the surface temperature and the atmospheric temperature are coupled by the emission of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Piermarco Cannarsa , Valerio Lucarini , Patrick Martinez , Cristina Urbani , Judith Vancostenoble

Condensation and sublimation of water vapors (and CO2, CH4, N2O vapors also) in the Earth atmosphere must be accompanied by emission of latent heats on characteristic frequencies marked in absorption spectra. Calculated wave lengths…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-05-06 Mark E. Perel'man

Context: The long-term carbonate-silicate cycle plays an important role in the evolution of Earth's climate and, therefore, may also be an important mechanism in the evolution of the climates of Earth-like exoplanets. Aims: We investigate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-05 M. Oosterloo , D. Höning , I. E. E. Kamp , F. F. S. van der Tak

Solar irradiance is considered one of the main natural factors affecting terrestrial climate, and its variations are included in most numerical models estimating the effects of natural versus anthropogenic factors for climate change. Solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-25 Katya Georgieva , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

A transition to a fully global renewable energy infrastructure is potentially possible in no more than a few decades, even using current wind/solar technologies. We demonstrate that at its completion this transition would terminate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Peter D. Schwartzman , David W. Schwartzman , Xiaochun Zhang

The biogeochemical complexity of environmental models is increasing continuously and model reliability must be reanalysed when new implementations are brought about. This work aim to identify influential biogeochemical parameters that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-01 Giulia Ceriotti , Fiona H M Tang , Federico Maggi

The goal of climate change governance is to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations. This requires the reduction of anthropogenic global net emissions. In the pursuit of such a reduction, knowledge of greenhouse gas sources and sinks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-11 Sébastien Philippe

Soil moisture is a key ingredient of humid heat through supplying moisture and modifying boundary layer properties. Soil moisture heterogeneity due to e.g., antecedent rainfall, can strongly influence weather patterns; yet, its effect on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-27 Guillaume Chagnaud , Chris M Taylor , Lawrence S Jackson , Anne Barber , Helen Burns , John H Marsham , Cathryn E Birch

It is known that the so-called problem of solar power pacemaker related to possible existence of some hidden but key mechanism of energy influence of the Sun on fundamental geophysical processes is one of the principal and puzzling problems…