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The successful prediction of earthquakes is one of the holy grails in Earth Sciences. Traditional predictions use statistical information on recurrence intervals, but those predictions are not accurate enough. In a recent paper, a machine…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-11-16 Silke van Klaveren , Ivan Vasconcelos , Andre Niemeijer

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

We propose a novel method for analyzing precursory seismic data before an earthquake that treats them as a Markov process and distinguishes the background noise from real fluctuations due to an earthquake. A short time (on the order of…

No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake risk. These are primarily based on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 James R. Holliday , Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo , Kristy F. Tiampo , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte

The paper describes a theoretical model of the generation of electromagnetic emissions detected prior to the earthquake, a scheme of the earthquake prediction methodology, the possible methods, which are capable of simultaneous…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-04-26 Manana Kachakhidze , Nino Kachakhidze-Murphy

Geoscience and seismology have utilized the most advanced technologies and equipment to monitor seismic events globally from the past few decades. With the enormous amount of data, modern GPU-powered deep learning presents a promising…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-14 Bo Feng , Geoffrey C. Fox

In the presented paper the possible methods of the large earthquake prediction are offered. During the study, it was used data of the INFREP (European Network of Electromagnetic Radiation) existent before earthquake. The elaborated methods…

Foreshock events provide valuable insight to predict imminent major earthquakes. However, it is difficult to identify them in real time. In this paper, I propose an algorithm based on deep learning to instantaneously classify a seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-29 K. Vikraman

The rapid proliferation of deep-learning-based detection and association methods has greatly expanded automatically generated earthquake catalogs, but has also introduced false detections, mis-associated arrivals, and poorly constrained…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ziye Yu , Jinqing Sun , Yuqi Cai , Zemin Liu , Pingping Wu , Xin Liu , Jiayan Tan

A multicomponent random process used as a model for the problem of space-time earthquake prediction; this allows us to develop consistent estimation for conditional probabilities of large earthquakes if the values of the predictor…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-04-28 V. M. Ghertzik

A phenomenological systems approach for identifying potential precursors in multiple signals of different types for the same local seismically active region is proposed based on the assumption that a large earthquake may be preceded by a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-07-05 G. V. Ryabinin , Yu. S. Polyakov , V. A. Gavrilov , S. F. Timashev

We present an axiomatic approach to earthquake forecasting in terms of multi-component random fields on a lattice. This approach provides a method for constructing point estimates and confidence intervals for conditional probabilities of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-29 V. Gertsik , M. Kelbert , A. Krichevets

A search for the possible precursors of an earthquake and its effect on the data series of diverse geophysical parameters has been made in the mountain of Northern Tien Shan. The complex installation included the NM64 type neutron…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-01-30 N. M. Salikhov , A. L. Shepetov , A. P. Chubenko , O. N. Kryakunova , G. D. Pak

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

The possibility of earthquake prediction is one of the key open questions in modern geophysics. We propose an approach based on the analysis of common short-term candidate precursors (2 weeks to 3 months prior to strong earthquake) with the…

General Physics · Physics 2015-03-20 Yuriy S. Polyakov , Gennadiy V. Ryabinin , Anna B. Solovyeva , Serge F. Timashev

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

It is given an attempt for statistical estimation of when earthquake prediction for Balkan- Black Sea region using the geomagnetic field signal. The preliminary test of the approach for England (Hartland), Turkey (Kandilli) and India…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Strachimir Chterev Mavrodiev

The article discusses the possibilities of three-step early warning and short-term prediction of earthquakes based on the classical geological model of fault formation and a model of the generation of electromagnetic emissions detected…

This research presents one possible way for imminent prediction of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicenter coordinates by solving the inverse problem using a data acquisition network system for monitoring, archiving and complex analysis…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-08-03 S. Cht. Mavrodiev

The recent exploitation of natural resources and associated waste water injection in the subsurface have induced many small and moderate earthquakes in the tectonically quiet Central United States. This increase in seismic activity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne
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