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Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the population risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zakaria Mhammedi

Monotone learning describes learning processes in which expected performance consistently improves as the amount of training data increases. However, recent studies challenge this conventional wisdom, revealing significant gaps in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Ming Li , Chenyi Zhang , Qin Li

In this paper we show that the expected generalisation performance of a learning machine is determined by the distribution of risks or equivalently its logarithm -- a quantity we term the risk entropy -- and the fluctuations in a quantity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Dominic Belcher , Antonia Marcu , Adam Prügel-Bennett

The generalization ability of minimizers of the empirical risk in the context of binary classification has been investigated under a wide variety of complexity assumptions for the collection of classifiers over which optimization is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Clémençon Stephan , Patrice Bertail , Guillaume Papa

Learning performance can show non-monotonic behavior. That is, more data does not necessarily lead to better models, even on average. We propose three algorithms that take a supervised learning model and make it perform more monotone. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Tom J. Viering , Alexander Mey , Marco Loog

In order to circumvent statistical and computational hardness results in sequential decision-making, recent work has considered smoothed online learning, where the distribution of data at each time is assumed to have bounded likeliehood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Adam Block , Alexander Rakhlin , Abhishek Shetty

Understanding how the test risk scales with model complexity is a central question in machine learning. Classical theory is challenged by the learning curves observed for large over-parametrized deep networks. Capacity measures based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-22 Yichen Wang , Yudong Chen , Lorenzo Rosasco , Fanghui Liu

Plotting a learner's generalization performance against the training set size results in a so-called learning curve. This tool, providing insight in the behavior of the learner, is also practically valuable for model selection, predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Marco Loog , Tom Viering

A test of the null hypothesis that a hazard rate is monotone nondecreasing, versus the alternative that it is not, is proposed. Both the test statistic and the means of calibrating it are new. Unlike previous approaches, neither is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

The property of learning-curve monotonicity, highlighted in a recent series of work by Loog, Mey and Viering, describes algorithms which only improve in average performance given more data, for any underlying data distribution within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Mark Sellke , Steven Yin

Learning with limited labelled data, such as prompting, in-context learning, fine-tuning, meta-learning or few-shot learning, aims to effectively train a model using only a small amount of labelled samples. However, these approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Branislav Pecher , Ivan Srba , Maria Bielikova

Two new test statistics are introduced to test the null hypotheses that the sampling distribution has an increasing hazard rate on a specified interval [0,a]. These statistics are empirical L_1-type distances between the isotonic estimates,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

A dynamical model consists of a continuous self-map $T: \mathcal{X} \to \mathcal{X}$ of a compact state space $\mathcal{X}$ and a continuous observation function $f: \mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R}$. This paper considers the fitting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

We consider the extent to which we can learn from a completely randomized experiment whether all individuals have treatment effects that are weakly of the same sign, a condition we call monotonicity. From a classical sampling perspective,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiafeng Chen , Jonathan Roth , Jann Spiess

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

Monotonicity is a key qualitative prediction of a wide array of economic models derived via robust comparative statics. It is therefore important to design effective and practical econometric methods for testing this prediction in empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Denis Chetverikov

Learning monotonic models with respect to a subset of the inputs is a desirable feature to effectively address the fairness, interpretability, and generalization issues in practice. Existing methods for learning monotonic neural networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Xingchao Liu , Xing Han , Na Zhang , Qiang Liu

The fundamental theorem of statistical learning states that for binary classification problems, any Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) learning rule has close to optimal sample complexity. In this paper we seek for a generic optimal learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Amit Daniely , Shai Shalev-Shwartz
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