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Essential tasks for the verification of probabilistic programs include bounding expected outcomes and proving termination in finite expected runtime. We contribute a simple yet effective inductive synthesis approach for proving such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Kevin Batz , Mingshuai Chen , Sebastian Junges , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Probabilistic programs are typically normal-looking programs describing posterior probability distributions. They intrinsically code up randomized algorithms and have long been at the heart of modern machine learning and approximate…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Lutz Klinkenberg , Tobias Winkler , Mingshuai Chen , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and a structural breaks testing problem. This allows us to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Haplotype Inference is a challenging problem in bioinformatics that consists in inferring the basic genetic constitution of diploid organisms on the basis of their genotype. This information allows researchers to perform association studies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-08-06 Luca Di Gaspero , Andrea Roli

Probabilistic programming is an approach to reasoning under uncertainty by encoding inference problems as programs. In order to solve these inference problems, probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) employ different inference…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Daniel Lundén , Johannes Borgström , David Broman

We engineer a new probabilistic Monte-Carlo algorithm for isomorphism testing. Most notably, as opposed to all other solvers, it implicitly exploits the presence of symmetries without explicitly computing them. We provide extensive…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Markus Anders , Pascal Schweitzer

Monte Carlo inference has asymptotic guarantees, but can be slow when using generic proposals. Handcrafted proposals that rely on user knowledge about the posterior distribution can be efficient, but are difficult to derive and implement.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We introduce a method for using deep neural networks to amortize the cost of inference in models from the family induced by universal probabilistic programming languages, establishing a framework that combines the strengths of probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Tuan Anh Le , Atilim Gunes Baydin , Frank Wood

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

Probabilistic programming is a programming paradigm for expressing flexible probabilistic models. Implementations of probabilistic programming languages employ a variety of inference algorithms, where sequential Monte Carlo methods are…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Daniel Lundén , David Broman , Fredrik Ronquist , Lawrence M. Murray

For multiparametric mixed-integer convex programming problems such as those encountered in hybrid model predictive control, we propose an algorithm for generating a feasible partition of a subset of the parameter space. The result is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Danylo Malyuta , Behcet Acikmese , Martin Cacan , David S. Bayard

Current probabilistic programming languages and tools tightly couple model representations with specific inference algorithms, preventing experimentation with novel representations or mixed discrete-continuous models. We introduce a factor…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Ole Fenske , Maximilian Popko , Sebastian Bader , Thomas Kirste

We study the semantic foundation of expressive probabilistic programming languages, that support higher-order functions, continuous distributions, and soft constraints (such as Anglican, Church, and Venture). We define a metalanguage (an…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Sam Staton , Hongseok Yang , Chris Heunen , Ohad Kammar , Frank Wood

We study machine learning formulations of inductive program synthesis; given input-output examples, we try to synthesize source code that maps inputs to corresponding outputs. Our aims are to develop new machine learning approaches based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Alexander L. Gaunt , Marc Brockschmidt , Rishabh Singh , Nate Kushman , Pushmeet Kohli , Jonathan Taylor , Daniel Tarlow

Intelligent systems sometimes need to infer the probable goals of people, cars, and robots, based on partial observations of their motion. This paper introduces a class of probabilistic programs for formulating and solving these problems.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Alexey Radul , David Wingate , Vikash K. Mansinghka

It is important to estimate the errors of probabilistic inference algorithms. Existing diagnostics for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods assume inference is asymptotically exact, and are not appropriate for approximate methods like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Justin Domke

Probabilistic programming is the idea of writing models from statistics and machine learning using program notations and reasoning about these models using generic inference engines. Recently its combination with deep learning has been…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Wonyeol Lee , Hangyeol Yu , Xavier Rival , Hongseok Yang

Computing the probability of a formula given the probabilities or weights associated with other formulas is a natural extension of logical inference to the probabilistic setting. Surprisingly, this problem has received little attention in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Vibhav Gogate , Pedro Domingos

Sequence modeling with neural networks has lead to powerful models of symbolic music data. We address the problem of exploiting these models to reach creative musical goals, by combining with human input. To this end we generalise previous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Christian Walder , Dongwoo Kim

Motivated by algorithmic information theory, the problem of program discovery can help find candidates of underlying generative mechanisms of natural and artificial phenomena. The uncomputability of such inverse problem, however,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-29 Vladimir Lemusa , Eduardo Acuña , Víctor Zamora , Francisco Hernandez-Quiroz , Hector Zenil