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A prediction interval is a statistical interval that should encompass one (or more) future observation(s) with a given coverage probability and is usually computed based on historical control data. The application of prediction intervals is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-08 Max Menssen

Preference-based reinforcement learning offers a scalable alternative to manual reward engineering by learning reward structures from comparative feedback. However, large-scale preference datasets, whether collected from crowdsourced…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Ziqin Yuan , Ruiqi Wang , Dezhong Zhao , Baijian Yang , Byung-Cheol Min

Ensembles are popular methods for solving practical supervised learning problems. They reduce the risk of having underperforming models in production-grade software. Although critical, methods for learning heterogeneous regression ensembles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Jihed Khiari , Luis Moreira-Matias , Ammar Shaker , Bernard Zenko , Saso Dzeroski

To explain the decision of any model, we extend the notion of probabilistic Sufficient Explanations (P-SE). For each instance, this approach selects the minimal subset of features that is sufficient to yield the same prediction with high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

The increasing complexity of data requires methods and models that can effectively handle intricate structures, as simplifying them would result in loss of information. While several analytical tools have been developed to work with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Riccardo Giubilei , Tullia Padellini , Pierpaolo Brutti

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

Machine learning in high-stakes domains, such as healthcare, faces two critical challenges: (1) generalizing to diverse data distributions given limited training data while (2) maintaining interpretability. To address these challenges, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Keyan Nasseri , Chandan Singh , James Duncan , Aaron Kornblith , Bin Yu

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Decision trees are ubiquitous in machine learning for their ease of use and interpretability. Yet, these models are not typically employed in reinforcement learning as they cannot be updated online via stochastic gradient descent. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Andrew Silva , Taylor Killian , Ivan Dario Jimenez Rodriguez , Sung-Hyun Son , Matthew Gombolay

In this work, we introduce a new framework for active experimentation, the Prediction-Guided Active Experiment (PGAE), which leverages predictions from an existing machine learning model to guide sampling and experimentation. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-22 Ruicheng Ao , Hongyu Chen , David Simchi-Levi

Ensemble techniques have demonstrated remarkable success in improving predictive performance across various domains by aggregating predictions from multiple models [1]. In the realm of recommender systems, this research explores the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Zainil Mehta , Tobias Vente

In the field of machine learning, ensemble learning is widely recognized as a pivotal strategy for pushing the boundaries of predictive performance. Traditional static ensemble methods typically assign weights by treating each base learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yanxin Liu , Yunqi Zhang

This paper surveys and organizes research works in a new paradigm in natural language processing, which we dub "prompt-based learning". Unlike traditional supervised learning, which trains a model to take in an input x and predict an output…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Pengfei Liu , Weizhe Yuan , Jinlan Fu , Zhengbao Jiang , Hiroaki Hayashi , Graham Neubig

Language models can learn a range of capabilities from unsupervised training on text corpora. However, to solve a particular problem (such as text summarization) it is typically necessary to fine-tune them on a task-specific dataset. It is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Adam Gleave , Geoffrey Irving

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Recommender systems are designed to predict user preferences over collections of items. These systems process users' previous interactions to decide which items should be ranked higher to satisfy their desires. An ensemble recommender…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Alireza Gharahighehi , Celine Vens , Konstantinos Pliakos

PReMiuM is a recently developed R package for Bayesian clustering using a Dirichlet process mixture model. This model is an alternative to regression models, non-parametrically linking a response vector to covariate data through cluster…

We look at common problems found in data that is used for predictive modeling tasks, and describe how to address them with the vtreat R package. vtreat prepares real-world data for predictive modeling in a reproducible and statistically…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-24 Nina Zumel , John Mount

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Giles Hooker , Lucas Mentch

In the context of personalized medicine, machine learning algorithms are growing in popularity. These algorithms require substantial information, which can be acquired effectively through the usage of previously gathered data. Open data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Niklas Jacobs , Manuel C. Voelkle , Norbert Kathmann , Kevin Hilbert
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