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The AGM theory of belief revision has become an important paradigm for investigating rational belief changes. Unfortunately, researchers working in this paradigm have restricted much of their attention to rather simple representations of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Frans Voorbraak

In classical density (or density-functional) estimation, it is standard to assume that the underlying distribution has a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure. However, when the data distribution is a mixture of continuous and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

We introduce a distance-based neural network model for regression, in which prediction uncertainty is quantified by a belief function on the real line. The model interprets the distances of the input vector to prototypes as pieces of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Thierry Denoeux

In this paper the elicitation of probabilities from human experts is considered as a measurement process, which may be disturbed by random 'measurement noise'. Using Bayesian concepts a second order probability distribution is derived…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Gerhard Paaß

We introduce a new logic of graded distributed belief that allows us to express the fact that a group of agents distributively believe that a certain fact holds with at least strength k. We interpret our logic by means of computationally…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Emiliano Lorini , Dmitry Rozplokhas

Within the framework of evidence theory, the confidence functions of different information can be combined into a combined confidence function to solve uncertain problems. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

We present a thorough introduction to the tools of category theory required for formulating gauge theories based on 2-connections. We provide a detailed construction of the categorical generalization of BF theory, dubbed BFCG, also known as…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2025-05-16 A. D. López-Hernández , Graciela Reyes-Ahumada , Javier Chagoya

A recent developing trend in clustering is the advancement of algorithms that not only identify clusters within data, but also express and capture the uncertainty of cluster membership. Evidential clustering addresses this by using the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Armel Soubeiga , Violaine Antoine

Many models of economics assume that individuals distort objective probabilities. We propose a simple consistency condition on distortion functions, which we term distortion coherence, that ensures that the function commutes with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Collin Raymond

A general dynamical process model of psychiatric disorders is proposed that specifies the basic cognitive processes involved in the transition from beliefs about self, others and world that are normal and adaptive, to beliefs that are…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-09-24 Brian P. O'Connor , Liane Gabora

To model discrete-time finite-state uncertain processes, we argue for the use of a global belief model in the form of an upper expectation that is the most conservative one under a set of basic axioms. Our motivation for these axioms, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

In the framework of the generalized measure theory the decomposable probabilistic-valued set functions are introduced with triangle functions $\tau$ in an appropriate probabilistic metric space as natural candidates for the "addition",…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Lenka Halčinová , Ondrej Hutník , Jana Molnárová

Traditional machine learning relies on explicit models and domain assumptions, limiting flexibility and interpretability. We introduce a model-free framework using surprisal (information theoretic uncertainty) to directly analyze and…

We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

In this chapter, we present and discuss a new generalized proportional conflict redistribution rule. The Dezert-Smarandache extension of the Demster-Shafer theory has relaunched the studies on the combination rules especially for the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Arnaud Martin , Christophe Osswald

Conflict management is still an open issue in the application of Dempster Shafer evidence theory. A lot of works have been presented to address this issue. In this paper, a new theory, called as generalized evidence theory (GET), is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-21 Yong Deng

We present a novel task that measures how people generalize objects' causal powers based on observing a single (Experiment 1) or a few (Experiment 2) causal interactions between object pairs. We propose a computational modeling framework…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Bonan Zhao , Christopher G. Lucas , Neil R. Bramley

We consider a multivariate density model where we estimate the excess mass of the unknown probability density $f$ at a given level $\nu>0$ from $n$ i.i.d. observed random variables. This problem has several applications such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea , Mathilde Mougeot , Karine Tribouley

The notion of probability density for a random function is not as straightforward as in finite-dimensional cases. While a probability density function generally does not exist for functional data, we show that it is possible to develop the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall

This paper discusses belief revision under uncertain inputs in the framework of possibility theory. Revision can be based on two possible definitions of the conditioning operation, one based on min operator which requires a purely ordinal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade
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