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Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga

In our previous paper, "A Unified Approach to Systemic Risk Measures via Acceptance Set" (\textit{Mathematical Finance, 2018}), we have introduced a general class of systemic risk measures that allow for random allocations to individual…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-26 Francesca Biagini , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Marco Frittelli , Thilo Meyer-Brandis

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the pricing and management of share buyback contracts, overcoming the limitations of traditional optimal control methods, which frequently encounter difficulties with high-dimensional state…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-15 Bastien Baldacci , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

Evaluating the financial performance of manufacturing firms requires consideration of both the time value of money and the relative importance of multiple decision criteria. Conventional approaches relying solely on deterministic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-05 Duaa Abdullah , Marwa Abdullah

We consider the problem of minimizing a certainty equivalent of the total or discounted cost over a finite and an infinite time horizon which is generated by a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The certainty equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We show that the introduction of Tobin taxes in agent-based models of currency markets can lead to a reduction of speculative trading and reduce the magnitude of exchange rate fluctuations at intermediate tax rates. In this regime revenues…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Ginestra Bianconi , Tobias Galla , Matteo Marsili

Forecasting project expenses is a crucial step for businesses to avoid budget overruns and project failures. Traditionally, this has been done by financial analysts or data science techniques such as time-series analysis. However, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Cheng Qian , Lucas Glass , Nikos Sidiropoulos

We consider a modification of the dividend maximization problem from ruin theory. Based on a classical risk process we maximize the difference of expected cumulated discounted dividends and total expected discounted additional funding…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-21 Josef Anton Strini , Stefan Thonhauser

In this paper, we study the exponential utility indifference pricing of pure endowment policies within a stochastic-factor model for an insurer who also invests in a financial market. Our framework incorporates a hazard rate modeled as an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-30 Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

In this paper, we focus on the problem of optimal portfolio-consumption policies in a multi-asset financial market, where the n risky assets follow Exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, along with one risk-free bond. The investor's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Zhaoxiang Zhong , Haiming Song

Multistage risk-averse optimal control problems with nested conditional risk mappings are gaining popularity in various application domains. Risk-averse formulations interpolate between the classical expectation-based stochastic and minimax…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Pantelis Sopasakis , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

The primary objective of this scholarly work is to develop two estimation procedures - maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and method of trimmed moments (MTM) - for the mean and variance of lognormal insurance payment severity data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

In this paper, we consider the problem of maximizing the expected discounted utility of dividend payments for an insurance company that controls risk exposure by purchasing proportional reinsurance. We assume the preference of the insurer…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-08 Xiaoqing Liang , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

This paper investigates the dynamic reinsurance design problem under the mean-variance criterion, incorporating heterogeneous beliefs between the insurer and the reinsurer, and introducing an incentive compatibility constraint to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Junyi Guo , Xia Han , Hao Wang

We consider the problem of optimal investment with random endowment in a Black--Scholes market for an agent with constant relative risk aversion. Using duality arguments, we derive an explicit expression for the optimal trading strategy,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-26 Michael Donisch , Christoph Knochenhauer

We study shortfall risk minimization for American options with path dependent payoffs under proportional transaction costs in the Black--Scholes (BS) model. We show that for this case the shortfall risk is a limit of similar terms in an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Yan Dolinsky

In many real-life scenarios, system failure depends on dynamic stress-strength interference, where strength degrades and stress accumulates concurrently over time. In this paper, we consider the problem of finding an optimal replacement…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-04 Phalguni Nanda , Prajamitra Bhuyan , Anup Dewanji

In this paper we take a look at a simple portfolio insurance strategy using a protective put and computationally derive the investor's governing utility structures underlying such a strategy under alternative market scenarios. Investor…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. Khoshnevisan , Florentin Smarandache , Sukanto Bhattacharya

In this article we consider the surplus process of an insurance company within the Cramer-Lundberg framework. We study the optimal reinsurance strategy and dividend distribution of an insurance company under proportional reinsurance, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Zakaria Aljaberi , Asma Khedher , Mohamed Mnif
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