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This paper addresses the statistical problem of estimating the infinite-norm deviation from the empirical mean to the distribution mean for high-dimensional distributions on $\{0,1\}^d$, potentially with $d=\infty$. Unlike traditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-21 Moïse Blanchard , Václav Voráček

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be an exchangeable random vector with distribution function $F$, and denote by $Y_1\leq \cdots\leq Y_n$ the corresponding order statistics. We show that the conditional distribution of $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Nickos Papadatos

We consider random arrays indexed by the leaves of an infinitary rooted tree of finite depth, with the distribution invariant under the rearrangements that preserve the tree structure. We call such arrays hierarchically exchangeable and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Tim Austin , Dmitry Panchenko

Two old conjectures from problem sections, one of which from SIAM Review, concern the question of finding distributions that maximize P(Sn <= t), where Sn is the sum of i.i.d. random variables X1, ..., Xn on the interval [0,1], satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-13 Ludolf E. Meester

Exchangeable arrays are natural tools to model common forms of dependence between units of a sample. Jointly exchangeable arrays are well suited to dyadic data, where observed random variables are indexed by two units from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

The ever-growing appearance of infinitely divisible laws and related processes in various areas, such as physics, mathematical biology, finance and economics, has fuelled an increasing demand for numerical methods of sampling and sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Sida Yuan , Reiichiro Kawai

Consider the problem of matching two independent i.i.d. samples of size $N$ from two distributions $P$ and $Q$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. For an arbitrary continuous cost function, the optimal assignment problem looks for the matching that…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Zaid Harchaoui , Lang Liu , Soumik Pal

Let $(X,Y)$ be a bivariate random vector. The estimation of a probability of the form $P(Y\leq y \mid X >t) $ is challenging when $t$ is large, and a fruitful approach consists in studying, if it exists, the limiting conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-01 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

In his 1985 survey of notions of exchangeability, Aldous introduced a form of exchangeability corresponding to the symmetries of the infinite discrete cube, and asked whether these exchangeable probability measures enjoy a representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-19 Tim Austin

Stretched exponential probability density functions (pdf), having the form of the exponential of minus a fractional power of the argument, are commonly found in turbulence and other areas. They can arise because of an underlying random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 U. Frisch , D. Sornette

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

A simple fragmentation model is introduced and analysed. We show that, under very general conditions, an effective power law for the mass distribution arises with realistic exponent. This exponent has a universal limit, but in practice the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

In arXiv:0807.0677, K\"ostler and Speicher observed that de Finetti's theorem on exchangeable sequences has a free analogue if one replaces exchangeability by the stronger condition of invariance under quantum permutations. In this paper we…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2009-06-01 Stephen Curran

There are $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables $I_{k}$ with parameters $p_{k}$ that are observed sequentially. We consider a generalization of the Last-Success-Problem considering $w_{k}$ positive payments if the player successfully…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Jose Maria Grau ribas

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

Stochastic processes play a key role for modeling a huge variety of transport problems out of equilibrium, with manifold applications throughout the natural and social sciences. To formulate models of stochastic dynamics the conventional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-25 Massimiliano Giona , Andrea Cairoli , Rainer Klages

We study conditional independence relationships for random networks and their interplay with exchangeability. We show that, for finitely exchangeable network models, the empirical subgraph densities are maximum likelihood estimates of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Steffen Lauritzen , Alessandro Rinaldo , Kayvan Sadeghi

We study existence and uniqueness of solutions for second order ordinary stochastic differential equations with Dirichlet boundary conditions on a given interval. In the first part of the paper we provide sufficient conditions to ensure…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-10-16 Anna Capietto , Enrico Priola

We study the error of the number of points of the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$ that fall into a dilated and translated hypercube centred around $0$ and whose axis are parallel to the axis of coordinates. We show that if $t$, the factor of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Julien Trevisan