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We present a novel analogue for finite exchangeable sequences of the de Finetti, Hewitt and Savage theorem and investigate its implications for multi-marginal optimal transport (MMOT) and Bayesian statistics. If $(Z_1,...,Z_N)$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Guillaume Carlier , Gero Friesecke , Daniela Vögler

Let $S$ be a Polish space and $(X_n:n\geq1)$ an exchangeable sequence of $S$-valued random variables. Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P(X_{n+1}\in \cdot\mid X_1,\...,X_n)$ be the predictive measure and $\alpha$ a random probability measure on $S$ such…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Continuing the study reported in Satheesh (2001),(math.PR/0304499 dated 01 May 2003) and Satheesh (2002)(math.PR/0305030 dated 02May 2003), here we study generalizations of infinitely divisible (ID) and max-infinitely divisible (MID) laws.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Satheesh , E. Sandhya

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Classical results for exchangeable systems of random variables are extended to multi-class systems satisfying a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of a finite multi-class system, given the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-16 Carl Graham

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be iid random vectors and $f\ge 0$ be a non-negative function. Let also $k(n) = {\rm Argmax}_{i=1,...,n} f(X_i)$. We are interested in the distribution of $X_{k(n)}$ and their limit theorems. In other words, what is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Hans-Peter Scheffler , Stilian Stoev

A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (X_n)_{n\geq 1} is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration (G_n)_{n\geq 0}, if it…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We show the following generalizations of the de Finetti--Hewitt--Savage theorem: Given an exchangeable sequence of random elements, the sequence is conditionally i.i.d. if and only if each random element admits a regular conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Peter Potaptchik , Daniel M. Roy , David Schrittesser

Multi-class systems having possibly both finite and infinite classes are investigated under a natural partial exchangeability assumption. It is proved that the conditional law of such a system, given the vector of the empirical measures of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Carl Graham

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

Consider a (possibly infinite) exchangeable sequence X={X_n:1\leqn<N}, where N\in N\cup {\infty}, with values in a Borel space (A,A), and note X_n=(X_1,...,X_n). We say that X is Hoeffding decomposable if, for each n, every square…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Peccati

We obtain asymptotic expansions for local probabilities of partial sums for uniformly bounded independent but not necessarily identically distributed integer-valued random variables. The expansions involve products of polynomials and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Yeor Hafouta

The problem of inferring the distribution of a random vector given that its norm is large requires modeling a homogeneous limiting density. We suggest an approach based on graphical models which is suitable for high-dimensional vectors. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Adrien Hitz , Robin Evans

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

Let $S=(S_n)$ be an oscillatory random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ with i.i.d. increments. Let $V_{{\rm d}}(x)$ be the renewal function of the strictly descending ladder height process for $S$. We obtain several sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Kohei Uchiyama

Continuing the study reported in Satheesh (2001),(arXiv:math.PR/0304499 dated 01May2003) here we study certain aspects of randomization in infinitely divisible (ID) and max-infinitely divisible (MID) laws. They generalize ID and MID laws.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Satheesh

A random vector $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ with the $X_i$ taking values in an arbitrary measurable space $(S, \mathscr{S})$ is exchangeable if its law is the same as that of $(X_{\sigma(1)}, \ldots, X_{\sigma(n)})$ for any permutation $\sigma$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Svante Janson , Takis Konstantopoulos , Linglong Yuan

A notion of conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.) sequences has been studied as a form of stochastic dependence that is weaker than exchangeability, but is equivalent to exchangeability for stationary sequences. In this article we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone , Polina Sporysheva

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

This article provides tools for the study of the Dirichlet random walk in $\mathbb{R}^d$. By this we mean the random variable $W=X_1\Theta_1+\cdots+X_n\Theta_n$ where $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n) \sim \mathcal{D}(q_1,\ldots,q_n)$ is Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Gerard Letac , Mauro Piccioni