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This paper develops meshless methods for probabilistically describing discretisation error in the numerical solution of partial differential equations. This construction enables the solution of Bayesian inverse problems while accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

In this paper we focus on a type of inverse problem in which the data is expressed as an unknown function of the sought and unknown model function (or its discretised representation as a model parameter vector). In particular, we deal with…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-19 Dalia Chakrabarty , Prasenjit Saha

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular scalable alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian inference. We study a mean-field spike and slab VB approximation of widely used Bayesian model selection priors in sparse high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-07 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo , Gabriel Clara

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

The Bayesian approach provides powerful methods for variable selection. The ability to incorporate sparsity through prior beliefs and account for parameter uncertainty allows Bayesian variable selection to consistently identify which of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson

We study data-driven decision-making problems in the Bayesian framework, where the expectation in the Bayes risk is replaced by a risk-sensitive entropic risk measure. We focus on problems where calculating the posterior distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) is a supervised learning algorithm extended from Support Vector Machine (SVM) based on the Bayesian sparsity model. Compared with the regression problem, RVM classification is difficult to be conducted because…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-28 Wenyang Wang , Dongchu Sun , Zhuoqiong He

Bayesian inference offers benefits over maximum likelihood, but it also comes with computational costs. Computing the posterior is typically intractable, as is marginalizing that posterior to form the posterior predictive distribution. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Alexander A. Alemi , Ben Poole

We introduce a flexible empirical Bayes approach for fitting Bayesian generalized linear models. Specifically, we adopt a novel mean-field variational inference (VI) method and the prior is estimated within the VI algorithm, making the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Dongyue Xie , Wanrong Zhu , Matthew Stephens

Bayesian methods have shown success in deep learning applications. For example, in predictive tasks, Bayesian neural networks leverage Bayesian reasoning of model uncertainty to improve the reliability and uncertainty awareness of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wenlong Chen , Bolian Li , Ruqi Zhang , Yingzhen Li

Approximating complex probability densities is a core problem in modern statistics. In this paper, we introduce the concept of Variational Inference (VI), a popular method in machine learning that uses optimization techniques to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Ankush Ganguly , Samuel W. F. Earp

This paper focuses on Bayesian Optimization in combinatorial spaces. In many applications in the natural science. Broad applications include the study of molecules, proteins, DNA, device structures and quantum circuit designs, a on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Tony C. Wu , Daniel Flam-Shepherd , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

This paper extends the work of Clarke [1] on the Bayesian foundations of the biomagnetic inverse problem. It derives expressions for the expectation and variance of the a posteriori source current probability distribution given a prior…

Medical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Hasson , S. J. Swithenby

We adopt Bayesian approach to consider the inverse problem of estimate a function from noisy observations. One important component of this approach is the prior measure. Total variation prior has been proved with no discretization invariant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

We investigate the convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for statistical inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Departing from exact Bayesian inference, variational inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

A Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems is considered where the unknown quantity (input) is a random spatial field. The forward model is complex and non-linear, therefore computationally expensive. An emulator-based methodology is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Anirban Mondal , Bani Mallick

Statistical shape modeling (SSM) enables population-based quantitative analysis of anatomical shapes, informing clinical diagnosis. Deep learning approaches predict correspondence-based SSM directly from unsegmented 3D images but require…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Jadie Adams , Shireen Elhabian

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami