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Entropy is a measure of self-information which is used to quantify losses. Entropy was developed in thermodynamics, but is also used to compare probabilities based on their deviating information content. Corresponding model uncertainty is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

It is often possible to perform reduced order modelling by specifying linear subspace which accurately captures the dynamics of the system. This approach becomes especially appealing when linear subspace explicitly depends on parameters of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Vladimir Fanaskov , Vladislav Trifonov , Alexander Rudikov , Ekaterina Muravleva , Ivan Oseledets

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

The ultimate purpose of the statistical analysis of ordinal patterns is to characterize the distribution of the features they induce. In particular, knowing the joint distribution of the pair Entropy-Statistical Complexity for a large class…

In a previous article, a least square regression estimation procedure was proposed: first, we condiser a family of functions and study the properties of an estimator in every unidimensionnal model defined by one of these functions; we then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Pierre Alquier

Maximum entropy models provide the least constrained probability distributions that reproduce statistical properties of experimental datasets. In this work we characterize the learning dynamics that maximizes the log-likelihood in the case…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-09-21 Ulisse Ferrari

Given a set of response observations for a parametrized dynamical system, we seek a parametrized dynamical model that will yield uniformly small response error over a range of parameter values yet has low order. Frequently, access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Alexander Grimm , Christopher Beattie , Zlatko Drmač , Serkan Gugercin

Ensembling is a simple and popular technique for boosting evaluation performance by training multiple models (e.g., with different initializations) and aggregating their predictions. This approach is commonly reserved for the largest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Dan Kondratyuk , Mingxing Tan , Matthew Brown , Boqing Gong

Labeling a classification dataset implies to define classes and associated coarse labels, that may approximate a smoother and more complicated ground truth. For example, natural images may contain multiple objects, only one of which is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Raphael Baena , Lucas Drumetz , Vincent Gripon

In stochastic modeling, the excess entropy -- the mutual information shared between a process's past and future -- represents the fundamental lower bound of the memory needed to simulate its dynamics. However, this bound cannot be saturated…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-27 Kelvin Onggadinata , Andrew Tanggara , Mile Gu , Dagomir Kaszlikowski

Most of the existing classification methods are aimed at minimization of empirical risk (through some simple point-based error measured with loss function) with added regularization. We propose to approach this problem in a more information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-22 Wojciech Marian Czarnecki , Jacek Tabor

Retrosynthesis is a problem to infer reactant compounds to synthesize a given product compound through chemical reactions. Recent studies on retrosynthesis focus on proposing more sophisticated prediction models, but the dataset to feed the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Katsuhiko Ishiguro , Kazuya Ujihara , Ryohto Sawada , Hirotaka Akita , Masaaki Kotera

Continual learning aims to acquire new tasks while preserving performance on previously learned ones, but most methods struggle with catastrophic forgetting. Existing approaches typically treat all layers uniformly, often trading stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Hengyi Wu , Zhenyi Wang , Heng Huang

We study how the training data distribution affects confidence and performance in image classification models. We introduce Embedding Density, a model-agnostic framework that estimates prediction confidence by measuring the distance of test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Maksim Kazanskii , Artem Kasianov

As large language models continue to scale, their growing computational and storage demands pose significant challenges for real-world deployment. In this work, we investigate redundancy within Transformer-based models and propose an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Liangwei Yang , Yuhui Xu , Juntao Tan , Doyen Sahoo , Silvio Savarese , Caiming Xiong , Huan Wang , Shelby Heinecke

Infinite mixture models are commonly used for clustering. One can sample from the posterior of mixture assignments by Monte Carlo methods or find its maximum a posteriori solution by optimization. However, in some problems the posterior is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-26 Işık Barış Fidaner , Ali Taylan Cemgil

Making informed decisions about model adequacy has been an outstanding issue for regression models with discrete outcomes. Standard assessment tools for such outcomes (e.g. deviance residuals) often show a large discrepancy from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Lu Yang

We commonly encounter the problem of identifying an optimally weight adjusted version of the empirical distribution of observed data, adhering to predefined constraints on the weights. Such constraints often manifest as restrictions on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Metric learning seeks perceptual embeddings where visually similar instances are close and dissimilar instances are apart, but learned representations can be sub-optimal when the distribution of intra-class samples is diverse and distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Elad Levi , Tete Xiao , Xiaolong Wang , Trevor Darrell
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