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Convergence rate to the stationary distribution for continuous-time Markov processes can be studied using Lyapunov functions. Recent work by the author provided explicit rates of convergence in special case of a reflected jump-diffusion on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Andrey Sarantsev

Particle smoothers are widely used algorithms allowing to approximate the smoothing distribution in hidden Markov models. Existing algorithms often suffer from slow computational time or degeneracy. We propose in this paper a way to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-28 Cyrille Dubarry , Randal Douc

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Stationary stochastic processes with independent increments, of which the Poisson process is a prominent example, are widely used to describe real world events. With the basic assumption that a counting process is stationary and has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Enzhi Li

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

For complex nonlinear systems, it is challenging to design algorithms that are fast, scalable, and give an accurate approximation of the stability region. This paper proposes a sampling-based approach to address these challenges. By…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-24 Péter Antal , Tamás Péni , Roland Tóth

We consider random multiplicative functions taking the values $\pm 1$. Using Stein's method for normal approximation, we prove a central limit theorem for the sum of such multiplicative functions in appropriate short intervals.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-03 Sourav Chatterjee , Kannan Soundararajan

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jun Han

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo

In this paper we develop proximal methods for statistical learning. Proximal point algorithms are useful in statistics and machine learning for obtaining optimization solutions for composite functions. Our approach exploits closed-form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Brandon T. Willard

Linear programming (LP) is an extremely useful tool which has been successfully applied to solve various problems in a wide range of areas, including operations research, engineering, economics, or even more abstract mathematical areas such…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Agniva Chowdhury , Gregory Dexter , Palma London , Haim Avron , Petros Drineas

We introduce an harmonic analysis for iterated function systems (IFS) (X, mu) which is based on a Markov process on certain paths. The probabilities are determined by a weight function W on X. From W we define a transition operator R_W…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Dorin Ervin Dutkay , Palle E. T. Jorgensen

We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan

Numerically estimating the integral of functions in high dimensional spaces is a non-trivial task. A oft-encountered example is the calculation of the marginal likelihood in Bayesian inference, in a context where a sampling algorithm such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-03-30 Allen Caldwell , Philipp Eller , Vasyl Hafych , Rafael C. Schick , Oliver Schulz , Marco Szalay

Estimators derived from a divergence criterion such as $\varphi-$divergences are generally more robust than the maximum likelihood ones. We are interested in particular in the so-called MD$\varphi$DE, an estimator built using a dual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-14 Diaa Al Mohamad , Michel Broniatowski

By using the Ishikawa iterative algorithm, we approximate the fixed points and the best proximity points of a relatively non expansive mapping. Also, we use the von Neumann sequence to prove the convergence result in a Hilbert space…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-13 V. Pragadeeswarar , R. Gopi , Choonkil Park , Dong Yun Shin

Computing the distance function to some surface or line is a problem that occurs very frequently. There are several ways of computing a relevant approximation of this function, using for example technique originating from the approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Rémi Abgrall

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel

This manuscript derives locally weighted ensemble Kalman methods from the point of view of ensemble-based function approximation. This is done by using pointwise evaluations to build up a local linear or quadratic approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Philipp Wacker

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas
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