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The ability to predict the long-term impact of a scientific article soon after its publication is of great value towards accurate assessment of research performance. In this work we test the hypothesis that good predictions of long-term…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Giovanni Abramo , Ciriaco Andrea D'Angelo , Giovanni Felici

Citations are essential for recognizing scientific contributions, yet citation behavior is shaped by more than just relevance or quality. We analyzed approximately 255,000 refereed astronomy articles published between 2000 and 2025 to…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Vardan Adibekyan , Olivier Demangeon , Tiago Campante , Nuno Santos , Susana Barros , Artur Hakobyan

This study aims to improve the accuracy of long-term citation impact prediction by integrating early citation counts, Mendeley readership, and various non-scientific factors, such as journal impact factor, authorship and reference list…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Giovanni Abramo , Tindaro Cicero , Ciriaco Andrea D'Angelo

The issue of open access (OA) to scientific publications is attracting growing interest within the scientific community and among policy makers. Open access indicators are being calculated. In its 2019 ranking, the ''Centre for Science and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Abdelghani Maddi

Many journals post accepted articles online before they are formally published in an issue. Early citation impact evidence for these articles could be helpful for timely research evaluation and to identify potentially important articles…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-02-22 Kayvan Kousha , Mike Thelwall , Mahshid Abdoli

Analyzing a large data set of publications drawn from the most competitive journals in the natural and social sciences we show that research careers exhibit the broad distributions of individual achievement characteristic of systems in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-24 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner

The two most used citation impact indicators in the assessment of scientific journals are, nowadays, the impact factor and the h-index. However, both indicators are not field normalized (vary heavily depending on the scientific category)…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-10-14 Sara M. Gonzalez-Betancor , Pablo Dorta-Gonzalez

In a study of articles published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Gunther Eysenbach discovered a significant citation advantage for those articles made freely-available upon publication (Eysenbach 2006). While the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Philip M. Davis

In recent years, increased stakeholder pressure to transition research to Open Access has led to many journals converting, or 'flipping', from a closed access (CA) to an open access (OA) publishing model. Changing the publishing model can…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Fakhri Momeni , Philipp Mayr , Nicholas Fraser , Isabella Peters

The use of citation counts to assess the impact of research articles is well established. However, the citation impact of an article can only be measured several years after it has been published. As research articles are increasingly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Tim Brody , Stevan Harnad

In this study, we analyze the dynamic usage history of Nature publications over time using Nature metrics data. We conduct analysis from two perspectives. On the one hand, we examine how long it takes before the articles' downloads reach…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2014-06-24 Xianwen Wang , Wenli Mao , Shenmeng Xu , Chunbo Zhang

The potential benefit of open access (OA) in relation to citation impact has been discussed in the literature in depth. The methodology used to test the OA citation advantage includes comparing OA vs. non-OA journal impact factors and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Pablo Dorta-González , Yolanda Santana-Jiménez

Since Lawrence in 2001 proposed the open access (OA) citation advantage, the potential benefit of OA in relation to the citation impact has been discussed in depth. The methodology to test this postulate ranges from comparing the impact…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Pablo Dorta-Gonzalez , Sara M. Gonzalez-Betancor , Maria Isabel Dorta-Gonzalez

We study how publicity, in the form of highlighting in the science press, affects the citations of research papers. After a brief review of prior work, we analyze papers published in Physical Review Letters (PRL) that are highlighted across…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Manolis Antonoyiannakis

Articles whose authors make them Open Access (OA) by self-archiving them online are cited significantly more than articles accessible only to subscribers. Some have suggested that this "OA Advantage" may not be causal but just a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-10-26 Yassine Gargouri , Chawki Hajjem , Vincent Lariviere , Yves Gingras , Les Carr , Tim Brody , Stevan Harnad

A fundamental problem in citation analysis is the prediction of the long-term citation impact of recent publications. We propose a model to predict a probability distribution for the future number of citations of a publication. Two…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-09-10 Clara Stegehuis , Nelly Litvak , Ludo Waltman

In this transformative world, changes are happening in all the fields, including scholarly communications are trending in the academic area of publication and access to the resources, especially emerging the wave of open access, open…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-10-21 A. Subaveerapandiyan , K. Yohapriya , Ghouse Modin Nabeesab Mamdapur

Publication statistics are ubiquitous in the ratings of scientific achievement, with citation counts and paper tallies factoring into an individual's consideration for postdoctoral positions, junior faculty, tenure, and even visa status for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-29 Alexander M. Petersen , Fengzhong Wang , H. Eugene Stanley

Evaluative bibliometrics compares the citation impact of researchers, research groups and institutions with each other across time scales and disciplines. Both factors - discipline and period - have an influence on the citation count which…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2014-12-10 Lutz Bornmann , Werner Marx

In this study, we compare the difference in the impact between open access (OA) and non-open access (non-OA) articles. 1761 Nature Communications articles published from 1 Jan. 2012 to 31 Aug. 2013 are selected as our research objects,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Xianwen Wang , Chen Liu , Wenli Mao , Zhichao Fang